

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 67.13%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Cadiz had a probability of 12.29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (13.64%) and 1-2 (9.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.63%), while for a Cadiz win it was 1-0 (4.96%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Cadiz | Draw | Villarreal |
| 12.29% ( | 20.58% ( | 67.13% ( |
| Both teams to score 42.44% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.76% ( | 51.24% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.92% ( | 73.07% ( |
| Cadiz Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 49.56% ( | 50.44% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 15.04% | 84.96% ( |
| Villarreal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.63% ( | 14.37% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 57.74% ( | 42.26% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Cadiz | Draw | Villarreal |
| 1-0 @ 4.96% ( 2-1 @ 3.29% ( 2-0 @ 1.7% ( Other @ 2.34% Total : 12.29% | 1-1 @ 9.63% ( 0-0 @ 7.25% ( 2-2 @ 3.19% ( Other @ 0.51% Total : 20.58% | 0-1 @ 14.06% ( 0-2 @ 13.64% 1-2 @ 9.34% ( 0-3 @ 8.82% ( 1-3 @ 6.04% ( 0-4 @ 4.28% ( 1-4 @ 2.93% ( 2-3 @ 2.07% ( 0-5 @ 1.66% ( 1-5 @ 1.14% ( 2-4 @ 1% ( Other @ 2.17% Total : 67.12% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Barcelona | 37 | 28 | 4 | 5 | 69 | 18 | 51 | 88 |
| 2 | Real Madrid | 37 | 24 | 5 | 8 | 74 | 35 | 39 | 77 |
| 3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 37 | 23 | 7 | 7 | 68 | 31 | 37 | 76 |
| 4 | Real Sociedad | 37 | 20 | 8 | 9 | 49 | 34 | 15 | 68 |
| 5 | Villarreal | 37 | 19 | 6 | 12 | 57 | 38 | 19 | 63 |
| 6 | Real BetisBetis | 37 | 17 | 8 | 12 | 45 | 40 | 5 | 59 |
| 7 | Osasuna | 37 | 14 | 8 | 15 | 35 | 41 | -6 | 50 |
| 8 | Athletic Bilbao | 37 | 14 | 8 | 15 | 46 | 42 | 4 | 50 |
| 9 | GironaGirona | 37 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 57 | 53 | 4 | 49 |
| 10 | Rayo Vallecano | 37 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 45 | 50 | -5 | 49 |
| 11 | Sevilla | 37 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 46 | 52 | -6 | 49 |
| 12 | Mallorca | 37 | 13 | 8 | 16 | 34 | 43 | -9 | 47 |
| 13 | Valencia | 37 | 11 | 8 | 18 | 41 | 44 | -3 | 41 |
| 14 | CadizCadiz | 37 | 10 | 11 | 16 | 29 | 52 | -23 | 41 |
| 15 | Getafe | 37 | 10 | 11 | 16 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 41 |
| 16 | Almeria | 37 | 11 | 7 | 19 | 46 | 62 | -16 | 40 |
| 17 | Celta Vigo | 37 | 10 | 10 | 17 | 41 | 52 | -11 | 40 |
| 18 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 37 | 11 | 6 | 20 | 33 | 63 | -30 | 39 |
| R | Espanyol | 37 | 8 | 12 | 17 | 49 | 66 | -17 | 36 |
| R | ElcheElche | 37 | 5 | 9 | 23 | 29 | 66 | -37 | 24 |
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