Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 60.89%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Cadiz had a probability of 15.74%.
The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.63%) and 2-1 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.86%), while for a Cadiz win it was 0-1 (6.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Villarreal would win this match.
Result | ||
Villarreal | Draw | Cadiz |
60.89% | 23.37% | 15.74% |
Both teams to score 43% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.69% | 55.3% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.48% | 76.52% |
Villarreal Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.15% | 17.85% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.39% | 48.61% |
Cadiz Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
52.34% | 47.66% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
17.02% | 82.97% |
Score Analysis |
Villarreal | Draw | Cadiz |
1-0 @ 14.65% 2-0 @ 12.63% 2-1 @ 9.36% 3-0 @ 7.25% 3-1 @ 5.38% 4-0 @ 3.13% 4-1 @ 2.32% 3-2 @ 1.99% 5-0 @ 1.08% Other @ 3.1% Total : 60.88% | 1-1 @ 10.86% 0-0 @ 8.51% 2-2 @ 3.47% Other @ 0.53% Total : 23.37% | 0-1 @ 6.31% 1-2 @ 4.03% 0-2 @ 2.34% 1-3 @ 1% Other @ 2.07% Total : 15.74% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Barcelona | 36 | 27 | 4 | 5 | 66 | 18 | 48 | 85 |
2 | Real Madrid | 36 | 23 | 5 | 8 | 72 | 34 | 38 | 74 |
3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 36 | 22 | 7 | 7 | 66 | 30 | 36 | 73 |
4 | Real Sociedad | 36 | 20 | 8 | 8 | 48 | 32 | 16 | 68 |
5 | Villarreal | 36 | 19 | 6 | 11 | 56 | 36 | 20 | 63 |
6 | Real BetisBetis | 36 | 16 | 8 | 12 | 43 | 39 | 4 | 56 |
7 | Athletic Bilbao | 35 | 14 | 8 | 13 | 46 | 39 | 7 | 50 |
8 | GironaGirona | 36 | 13 | 10 | 13 | 56 | 51 | 5 | 49 |
9 | Sevilla | 36 | 13 | 10 | 13 | 45 | 50 | -5 | 49 |
10 | Osasuna | 35 | 13 | 8 | 14 | 32 | 39 | -7 | 47 |
11 | Rayo Vallecano | 36 | 12 | 10 | 14 | 43 | 49 | -6 | 46 |
12 | Mallorca | 35 | 12 | 8 | 15 | 33 | 40 | -7 | 44 |
13 | Valencia | 35 | 11 | 7 | 17 | 39 | 41 | -2 | 40 |
14 | Celta Vigo | 36 | 10 | 10 | 16 | 41 | 51 | -10 | 40 |
15 | Almeria | 36 | 11 | 6 | 19 | 46 | 62 | -16 | 39 |
16 | CadizCadiz | 36 | 9 | 11 | 16 | 28 | 52 | -24 | 38 |
17 | Getafe | 36 | 9 | 11 | 16 | 32 | 44 | -12 | 38 |
18 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 36 | 11 | 5 | 20 | 33 | 63 | -30 | 38 |
19 | Espanyol | 36 | 8 | 11 | 17 | 47 | 64 | -17 | 35 |
R | ElcheElche | 36 | 4 | 9 | 23 | 28 | 66 | -38 | 21 |
> La Liga Full Table |