Cadiz will certainly fight hard this season, particularly on home turf, in their bid to avoid another tight battle for survival, but we see them falling just short on Sunday.
Even without Oyarzabal, La Real have more than enough to hurt their hosts, and, knowing the importance of a winning start, we back Alguacil's side to pick up all three points.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 42.19%. A win for Cadiz had a probability of 29.04% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.39%) and 1-2 (8.15%). The likeliest Cadiz win was 1-0 (10.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.21%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Real Sociedad in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Real Sociedad.
0.17) 
-0.27) 
