

| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 18 | Granada | 38 | -17 | 38 | 
| 19 | Levante | 38 | -25 | 35 | 
| 20 | Alaves | 38 | -34 | 31 | 
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 15 | Getafe | 38 | -8 | 39 | 
| 16 | Cadiz | 38 | -16 | 39 | 
| 17 | Mallorca | 38 | -27 | 39 | 
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alaves win with a probability of 44.44%. A win for Cadiz had a probability of 28.93% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alaves win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.9%) and 2-0 (8.22%). The likeliest Cadiz win was 0-1 (8.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.62%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Cadiz would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Alaves | Draw | Cadiz | 
| 44.44% (  -0.17) | 26.62% (  0.04) | 28.93% (  0.14) | 
| Both teams to score 49.96% (  -0.04) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 45.39% (  -0.09) | 54.61% (  0.09) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 24.05% (  -0.07) | 75.95% (  0.07) | 
| Alaves Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 75.56% (  -0.12) | 24.44% (  0.12) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 41.12% (  -0.17) | 58.88% (  0.17) | 
| Cadiz Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 66.12% (  0.06) | 33.88% (  -0.06) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 29.45% (  0.07) | 70.55% (  -0.06) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Alaves | Draw | Cadiz | 
| 1-0 @ 11.66% 2-1 @ 8.9% (  -0.02) 2-0 @ 8.22% (  -0.03) 3-1 @ 4.18% (  -0.02) 3-0 @ 3.86% (  -0.03) 3-2 @ 2.26% (  -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.47% (  -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.36% (  -0.02) Other @ 2.54% Total : 44.44% | 1-1 @ 12.62% (  0.01) 0-0 @ 8.28% (  0.03) 2-2 @ 4.81% (  -0) Other @ 0.9% Total : 26.61% | 0-1 @ 8.96% (  0.04) 1-2 @ 6.83% (  0.02) 0-2 @ 4.85% (  0.03) 1-3 @ 2.47% (  0.01) 0-3 @ 1.75% (  0.01) 2-3 @ 1.74% (  0) Other @ 2.33% Total : 28.93% | 

| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Rayo Vallecano | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 
| 2 | Real Madrid | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 
| 3 | Osasuna | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 
| 4 | Real BetisBetis | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 
| 5 | Valencia | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 
| 6 | CadizCadiz | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 
| 7 | GironaGirona | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 
| 8 | Real Sociedad | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 
| 9 | Mallorca | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 
| 10 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 
| 11 | Getafe | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 
| 12 | Barcelona | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 
| 13 | Granada | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 
| 14 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 
| 15 | Villarreal | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 0 | 
| 16 | Sevilla | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 0 | 
| 17 | AlavesAlaves | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 | 
| 18 | Athletic Bilbao | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0 | 
| 19 | Almeria | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0 | 
| 20 | Celta Vigo | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0 | 
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