Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United Under-21s win with a probability of 46.7%. A win for Crystal Palace Under-21s had a probability of 30.53% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United Under-21s win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.01%) and 0-2 (6.38%). The likeliest Crystal Palace Under-21s win was 2-1 (7.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.07%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood.