

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sparta Rotterdam win with a probability of 40.19%. A win for SBV Excelsior had a probability of 36.14% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sparta Rotterdam win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.01%) and 0-2 (5.67%). The likeliest SBV Excelsior win was 2-1 (8.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| SBV Excelsior | Draw | Sparta Rotterdam |
| 36.14% ( | 23.67% ( | 40.19% ( |
| Both teams to score 62.62% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.68% ( | 39.33% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.34% ( | 61.66% ( |
| SBV Excelsior Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.16% ( | 21.84% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 44.94% ( | 55.07% ( |
| Sparta Rotterdam Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.12% ( | 19.88% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 48% ( | 52% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| SBV Excelsior | Draw | Sparta Rotterdam |
| 2-1 @ 8.12% ( 1-0 @ 6.61% ( 2-0 @ 5.03% ( 3-1 @ 4.12% ( 3-2 @ 3.33% ( 3-0 @ 2.55% ( 4-1 @ 1.57% ( 4-2 @ 1.27% ( 4-0 @ 0.97% ( Other @ 2.6% Total : 36.15% | 1-1 @ 10.67% ( 2-2 @ 6.56% ( 0-0 @ 4.34% ( 3-3 @ 1.79% ( Other @ 0.3% Total : 23.66% | 1-2 @ 8.62% ( 0-1 @ 7.01% ( 0-2 @ 5.67% ( 1-3 @ 4.64% ( 2-3 @ 3.53% ( 0-3 @ 3.05% ( 1-4 @ 1.87% ( 2-4 @ 1.43% ( 0-4 @ 1.23% ( Other @ 3.14% Total : 40.19% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 30 | 3 | 27 | 27 |
| 2 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 9 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 25 | 4 | 21 | 25 |
| 3 | Feyenoord | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 32 | 6 | 26 | 23 |
| 4 | FC Twente | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 6 | 13 | 22 |
| 5 | Go Ahead Eagles | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 15 |
| 6 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 15 |
| 7 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 16 | 15 | 1 | 13 |
| 8 | Heracles | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 12 |
| 9 | PEC Zwolle | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 17 | -5 | 11 |
| 10 | Heerenveen | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 13 | 21 | -8 | 10 |
| 11 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 17 | -9 | 10 |
| 12 | NECNijmegen | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 9 |
| 13 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 7 | 17 | -10 | 9 |
| 14 | Almere CityAlmere City | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 19 | -11 | 9 |
| 15 | Vitesse | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 16 | -9 | 8 |
| 16 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 20 | -12 | 7 |
| 17 | Ajax | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 5 |
| 18 | FC VolendamVolendam | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 8 | 18 | -10 | 4 |
| > Eredivisie Full Table | |||||||||
