

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heerenveen win with a probability of 58.71%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for SBV Excelsior had a probability of 19.41%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heerenveen win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.94%) and 2-0 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.32%), while for a SBV Excelsior win it was 0-1 (5.36%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Heerenveen | Draw | SBV Excelsior |
| 58.71% ( | 21.89% ( | 19.41% ( |
| Both teams to score 54.34% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.25% ( | 43.75% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.86% ( | 66.14% ( |
| Heerenveen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.42% ( | 14.58% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 57.35% ( | 42.65% ( |
| SBV Excelsior Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.61% ( | 36.39% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 26.83% ( | 73.17% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Heerenveen | Draw | SBV Excelsior |
| 1-0 @ 10.21% ( 2-1 @ 9.94% ( 2-0 @ 9.83% ( 3-1 @ 6.38% ( 3-0 @ 6.31% ( 3-2 @ 3.23% ( 4-1 @ 3.07% ( 4-0 @ 3.04% ( 4-2 @ 1.55% ( 5-1 @ 1.18% ( 5-0 @ 1.17% ( Other @ 2.78% Total : 58.7% | 1-1 @ 10.32% ( 0-0 @ 5.3% ( 2-2 @ 5.03% ( 3-3 @ 1.09% ( Other @ 0.14% Total : 21.88% | 0-1 @ 5.36% ( 1-2 @ 5.22% ( 0-2 @ 2.71% ( 1-3 @ 1.76% ( 2-3 @ 1.69% ( 0-3 @ 0.91% ( Other @ 1.75% Total : 19.41% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 30 | 3 | 27 | 27 |
| 2 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 9 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 25 | 4 | 21 | 25 |
| 3 | Feyenoord | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 32 | 6 | 26 | 23 |
| 4 | FC Twente | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 6 | 13 | 22 |
| 5 | Go Ahead Eagles | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 15 |
| 6 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 15 |
| 7 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 16 | 15 | 1 | 13 |
| 8 | Heracles | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 12 |
| 9 | PEC Zwolle | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 17 | -5 | 11 |
| 10 | Heerenveen | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 13 | 21 | -8 | 10 |
| 11 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 17 | -9 | 10 |
| 12 | NECNijmegen | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 9 |
| 13 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 7 | 17 | -10 | 9 |
| 14 | Almere CityAlmere City | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 19 | -11 | 9 |
| 15 | Vitesse | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 16 | -9 | 8 |
| 16 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 20 | -12 | 7 |
| 17 | Ajax | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 5 |
| 18 | FC VolendamVolendam | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 8 | 18 | -10 | 4 |
| > Eredivisie Full Table | |||||||||
