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AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
FC Volendam
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Excelsior
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Vitesse
Heerenveen
Eredivisie | Gameweek 6
Sep 23, 2023 at 8pm UK
Abe Lenstra Stadion
Excelsior
Heerenveen
0 - 3
Excelsior

Hall (19'), van Beek (35'), Kohlert (56'), Walemark (81')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Driouech (21'), Agrafiotis (45+2'), Parrott (88')
Horemans (68'), Zagre (81')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between Heerenveen and SBV Excelsior, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Feyenoord 6-1 Heerenveen
Saturday, September 16 at 3.30pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Excelsior 0-0 Almere City
Sunday, September 17 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie

We said: Heerenveen 2-2 SBV Excelsior

Despite some recent head-to-heads producing low-scoring encounters, both sides have been involved in goal-laden matches this season. Excelsior have been the early draw specialists, while Heerenveen will be happy to arrest a current three-game losing streak, so a close game could be on the cards. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heerenveen win with a probability of 58.71%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for SBV Excelsior had a probability of 19.41%.

The most likely scoreline for a Heerenveen win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.94%) and 2-0 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.32%), while for a SBV Excelsior win it was 0-1 (5.36%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood.

Result
HeerenveenDrawSBV Excelsior
58.71% (1.546 1.55) 21.89% (-0.625 -0.63) 19.41% (-0.916 -0.92)
Both teams to score 54.34% (0.54600000000001 0.55)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.25% (1.467 1.47)43.75% (-1.461 -1.46)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.86% (1.421 1.42)66.14% (-1.416 -1.42)
Heerenveen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.42% (1.003 1)14.58% (-0.998 -1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.35% (1.896 1.9)42.65% (-1.89 -1.89)
SBV Excelsior Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.61% (-0.106 -0.11)36.39% (0.111 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.83% (-0.109 -0.11)73.17% (0.113 0.11)
Score Analysis
    Heerenveen 58.7%
    SBV Excelsior 19.41%
    Draw 21.88%
HeerenveenDrawSBV Excelsior
1-0 @ 10.21% (-0.29 -0.29)
2-1 @ 9.94% (0.038 0.04)
2-0 @ 9.83% (0.065999999999999 0.07)
3-1 @ 6.38% (0.243 0.24)
3-0 @ 6.31% (0.259 0.26)
3-2 @ 3.23% (0.113 0.11)
4-1 @ 3.07% (0.219 0.22)
4-0 @ 3.04% (0.225 0.23)
4-2 @ 1.55% (0.106 0.11)
5-1 @ 1.18% (0.122 0.12)
5-0 @ 1.17% (0.124 0.12)
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 58.7%
1-1 @ 10.32% (-0.33 -0.33)
0-0 @ 5.3% (-0.346 -0.35)
2-2 @ 5.03% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-3 @ 1.09% (0.035 0.03)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 21.88%
0-1 @ 5.36% (-0.367 -0.37)
1-2 @ 5.22% (-0.182 -0.18)
0-2 @ 2.71% (-0.194 -0.19)
1-3 @ 1.76% (-0.067 -0.07)
2-3 @ 1.69% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 0.91% (-0.069 -0.07)
Other @ 1.75%
Total : 19.41%

How you voted: Heerenveen vs Excelsior

Heerenveen
45.5%
Draw
45.5%
SBV Excelsior
9.1%
11
Head to Head
May 13, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 32
Heerenveen
0-0
Excelsior
Nunnely (64'), Bruma (78'), Bochniewicz (90+3')
El Yaakoubi (66'), Kharchouch (73')
Nov 5, 2022 8pm
Mar 30, 2019 7.45pm
Sep 22, 2018 6.45pm
Gameweek 6
Excelsior
3-3
Heerenveen
Messaoud (12', 51'), Bruins (42')
Bulthuis (49'), Thorsby (59'), Hornkamp (92')
Thorsby (27')
Feb 24, 2018 6.45pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV99003032727
2AZ AlkmaarAZ98102542125
3Feyenoord97203262623
4FC Twente97111961322
5Go Ahead Eagles104331715215
6Sparta RotterdamSparta104331213-115
7SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior93421615113
8Heracles103341422-812
9PEC Zwolle103251217-511
10Heerenveen103161321-810
11Fortuna SittardSittard10244817-910
12NECNijmegen92341416-29
13RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk9306717-109
14Almere CityAlmere City10235819-119
15Vitesse10226716-98
16FC UtrechtUtrecht10217820-127
17Ajax71241116-55
18FC VolendamVolendam8116818-104

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