

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Utrecht win with a probability of 45.28%. A win for Heerenveen had a probability of 29.95% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Utrecht win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.23%) and 2-0 (7.44%). The likeliest Heerenveen win was 0-1 (7.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.67%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| FC Utrecht | Draw | Heerenveen |
| 45.28% ( | 24.76% ( | 29.95% ( |
| Both teams to score 56.44% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.55% ( | 46.45% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.27% ( | 68.73% ( |
| FC Utrecht Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.42% ( | 20.58% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 46.88% ( | 53.12% ( |
| Heerenveen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.06% ( | 28.94% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 35.18% ( | 64.82% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Utrecht | Draw | Heerenveen |
| 1-0 @ 9.42% ( 2-1 @ 9.23% ( 2-0 @ 7.44% ( 3-1 @ 4.86% ( 3-0 @ 3.92% ( 3-2 @ 3.02% ( 4-1 @ 1.92% ( 4-0 @ 1.55% ( 4-2 @ 1.19% ( Other @ 2.74% Total : 45.28% | 1-1 @ 11.67% ( 0-0 @ 5.96% ( 2-2 @ 5.72% ( 3-3 @ 1.25% ( Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.76% | 0-1 @ 7.39% ( 1-2 @ 7.24% ( 0-2 @ 4.58% ( 1-3 @ 2.99% ( 2-3 @ 2.37% ( 0-3 @ 1.89% ( 1-4 @ 0.93% ( Other @ 2.57% Total : 29.95% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
| 1 | S | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 15 |
| 2 | I | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 14 |
| 3 | S | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 |
| 4 | T | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| 5 | R | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 23 | 2 | 21 | 21 |
| 2 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 20 | 3 | 17 | 19 |
| 3 | FC Twente | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 4 | 10 | 18 |
| 4 | Feyenoord | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 26 | 6 | 20 | 17 |
| 5 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 14 | 11 | 3 | 12 |
| 6 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 11 |
| 7 | Heracles | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 11 |
| 8 | Go Ahead Eagles | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 15 | -2 | 10 |
| 9 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 9 |
| 10 | NECNijmegen | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 15 | -2 | 8 |
| 11 | PEC Zwolle | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 12 | -5 | 7 |
| 12 | Heerenveen | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 18 | -8 | 7 |
| 13 | Almere CityAlmere City | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 18 | -11 | 7 |
| 14 | Vitesse | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 6 |
| 15 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 14 | -9 | 6 |
| 16 | Ajax | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 5 |
| 17 | FC VolendamVolendam | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 16 | -9 | 4 |
| 18 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 4 | 17 | -13 | 3 |
| > Eredivisie Full Table | |||||||||
