Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Utrecht win with a probability of 52.29%. A win for Heerenveen had a probability of 24.42% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Utrecht win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.54%) and 0-2 (8.5%). The likeliest Heerenveen win was 2-1 (6.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.92%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.
