Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chaves win with a probability of 51%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Maritimo had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chaves win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.03%) and 2-1 (9.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.23%), while for a Maritimo win it was 0-1 (8.1%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chaves would win this match.
Result | ||
Chaves | Draw | Maritimo |
51% (![]() | 26% (![]() | 23% (![]() |
Both teams to score 46.87% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.81% (![]() | 56.19% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.75% (![]() | 77.24% (![]() |
Chaves Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.9% (![]() | 22.1% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.54% (![]() | 55.46% (![]() |
Maritimo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.16% (![]() | 39.83% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.5% (![]() | 76.5% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Chaves | Draw | Maritimo |
1-0 @ 13.28% (![]() 2-0 @ 10.03% ( ![]() 2-1 @ 9.23% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 5.05% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 4.65% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.14% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.91% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.75% ( ![]() Other @ 2.95% Total : 50.99% | 1-1 @ 12.23% (![]() 0-0 @ 8.8% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 4.25% ( ![]() Other @ 0.72% Total : 26% | 0-1 @ 8.1% (![]() 1-2 @ 5.63% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 3.73% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 1.73% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.3% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.14% ( ![]() Other @ 1.36% Total : 23% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Benfica | 25 | 22 | 2 | 1 | 66 | 14 | 52 | 68 |
2 | Porto | 25 | 18 | 4 | 3 | 55 | 17 | 38 | 58 |
3 | Braga | 25 | 18 | 2 | 5 | 54 | 22 | 32 | 56 |
4 | Sporting Lisbon | 24 | 16 | 2 | 6 | 49 | 23 | 26 | 50 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 25 | 12 | 4 | 9 | 25 | 29 | -4 | 40 |
6 | AroucaArouca | 25 | 10 | 8 | 7 | 29 | 32 | -3 | 38 |
7 | Casa Pia | 25 | 11 | 5 | 9 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 38 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 25 | 10 | 3 | 12 | 25 | 32 | -7 | 33 |
9 | Rio AveRio Ave | 25 | 9 | 6 | 10 | 25 | 28 | -3 | 33 |
10 | Vizela | 25 | 9 | 5 | 11 | 27 | 27 | 0 | 32 |
11 | ChavesChaves | 25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 26 | 31 | -5 | 32 |
12 | BoavistaBoavista | 25 | 8 | 6 | 11 | 28 | 40 | -12 | 30 |
13 | Gil Vicente | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 26 | 31 | -5 | 29 |
14 | PortimonensePortimonense | 25 | 8 | 2 | 15 | 18 | 32 | -14 | 26 |
15 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 25 | 6 | 4 | 15 | 21 | 39 | -18 | 22 |
16 | Maritimo | 25 | 4 | 4 | 17 | 17 | 47 | -30 | 16 |
17 | Pacos de FerreiraPacos de Ferreira | 25 | 4 | 4 | 17 | 19 | 43 | -24 | 16 |
18 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 25 | 3 | 6 | 16 | 17 | 38 | -21 | 15 |
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