

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rio Ave win with a probability of 46.01%. A draw had a probability of 27% and a win for Maritimo had a probability of 26.97%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rio Ave win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.87%) and 2-1 (8.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.72%), while for a Maritimo win it was 0-1 (9.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Rio Ave | Draw | Maritimo | 
| 46.01% (  -0.14) | 27.03% (  0.05) | 26.97% (  0.09) | 
| Both teams to score 47.54% (  -0.08) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 42.9% (  -0.13) | 57.11% (  0.13) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 22.02% (  -0.1) | 77.98% (  0.11) | 
| Rio Ave Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 75.21% (  -0.12) | 24.79% (  0.13) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 40.64% (  -0.17) | 59.37% (  0.18) | 
| Maritimo Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 63.22% (  0.01) | 36.79% (  -0) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 26.43% (  0.01) | 73.58% (  -0) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Rio Ave | Draw | Maritimo | 
| 1-0 @ 12.71% (  0.01) 2-0 @ 8.87% (  -0.02) 2-1 @ 8.87% (  -0.02) 3-1 @ 4.12% (  -0.02) 3-0 @ 4.12% (  -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.06% (  -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.44% (  -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.44% (  -0.01) Other @ 2.36% Total : 46% | 1-1 @ 12.72% (  0.02) 0-0 @ 9.12% (  0.05) 2-2 @ 4.44% (  -0.01) Other @ 0.75% Total : 27.03% | 0-1 @ 9.12% (  0.05) 1-2 @ 6.36% (  0.01) 0-2 @ 4.56% (  0.02) 1-3 @ 2.12% (  0) 0-3 @ 1.52% (  0.01) 2-3 @ 1.48% (  -0) Other @ 1.81% Total : 26.97% | 
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Benfica | 31 | 26 | 2 | 3 | 72 | 17 | 55 | 80 | 
| 2 | Porto | 30 | 23 | 4 | 3 | 63 | 19 | 44 | 73 | 
| 3 | Braga | 31 | 23 | 2 | 6 | 66 | 26 | 40 | 71 | 
| 4 | Sporting Lisbon | 31 | 21 | 4 | 6 | 65 | 28 | 37 | 67 | 
| 5 | AroucaArouca | 30 | 13 | 9 | 8 | 33 | 34 | -1 | 48 | 
| 6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 31 | 14 | 5 | 12 | 32 | 36 | -4 | 47 | 
| 7 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 30 | 13 | 3 | 14 | 34 | 39 | -5 | 42 | 
| 8 | Casa Pia | 31 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 28 | 35 | -7 | 40 | 
| 9 | ChavesChaves | 30 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 30 | 34 | -4 | 40 | 
| 10 | BoavistaBoavista | 31 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 37 | 49 | -12 | 40 | 
| 11 | Vizela | 31 | 11 | 6 | 14 | 33 | 35 | -2 | 39 | 
| 12 | Rio AveRio Ave | 31 | 10 | 9 | 12 | 33 | 37 | -4 | 39 | 
| 13 | PortimonensePortimonense | 31 | 10 | 4 | 17 | 24 | 40 | -16 | 34 | 
| 14 | Gil Vicente | 31 | 8 | 7 | 16 | 28 | 39 | -11 | 31 | 
| 15 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 31 | 8 | 4 | 19 | 26 | 46 | -20 | 28 | 
| 16 | Maritimo | 31 | 6 | 5 | 20 | 29 | 58 | -29 | 23 | 
| 17 | Pacos de FerreiraPacos de Ferreira | 31 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 23 | 56 | -33 | 20 | 
| 18 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 31 | 4 | 7 | 20 | 22 | 50 | -28 | 19 | 
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