Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sheffield United win with a probability of 40.35%. A win for Birmingham City had a probability of 30.89% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sheffield United win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.02%) and 0-2 (7.87%). The likeliest Birmingham City win was 1-0 (10.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sheffield United would win this match.