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Coventry City
Championship | Gameweek 45
Apr 29, 2023 at 3pm UK
Ricoh Arena
Birmingham logo
Coventry
2 - 0
Birmingham
Eccles (3'), Gyokeres (42' pen.)
FT(HT: 2-0)

Long (49'), Mejbri (90+5')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Coventry City and Birmingham City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Coventry 2-1 Reading
Saturday, April 22 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Birmingham 0-1 Blackpool
Saturday, April 22 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Coventry City 1-1 Birmingham City

Coventry go into their final two matches of the regular season knowing their playoff fate is in their own hands - something that seemed very unlikely during their abysmal run of form in January. Birmingham have little to play for but will be followed by nearly 5,000 Bluenoses at the CBS Arena, and Eustace will make sure his men put on a good display for those travelling from the Second City. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Coventry City win with a probability of 56.04%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Birmingham City had a probability of 20.59%.

The most likely scoreline for a Coventry City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.1%) and 2-1 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.11%), while for a Birmingham City win it was 0-1 (6.3%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Coventry City would win this match.

Result
Coventry CityDrawBirmingham City
56.04% (-0.622 -0.62) 23.38% (0.102 0.1) 20.59% (0.523 0.52)
Both teams to score 51.45% (0.48699999999999 0.49)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.47% (0.24400000000001 0.24)48.54% (-0.24 -0.24)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.34% (0.223 0.22)70.66% (-0.21899999999999 -0.22)
Coventry City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.86% (-0.13300000000001 -0.13)17.14% (0.137 0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.63% (-0.236 -0.24)47.37% (0.239 0.24)
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.1% (0.689 0.69)37.91% (-0.684 -0.68)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.32% (0.659 0.66)74.68% (-0.65499999999999 -0.65)
Score Analysis
    Coventry City 56.03%
    Birmingham City 20.59%
    Draw 23.37%
Coventry CityDrawBirmingham City
1-0 @ 11.45% (-0.17 -0.17)
2-0 @ 10.1% (-0.19 -0.19)
2-1 @ 9.8% (-0.0029999999999983 -0)
3-0 @ 5.94% (-0.141 -0.14)
3-1 @ 5.76% (-0.028 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.8% (0.039 0.04)
4-0 @ 2.62% (-0.074 -0.07)
4-1 @ 2.54% (-0.023 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.23% (0.012 0.01)
5-0 @ 0.92% (-0.031 -0.03)
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 56.03%
1-1 @ 11.11% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
0-0 @ 6.5% (-0.065 -0.07)
2-2 @ 4.76% (0.086 0.09)
3-3 @ 0.9% (0.029 0.03)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 23.37%
0-1 @ 6.3% (0.055 0.05)
1-2 @ 5.39% (0.121 0.12)
0-2 @ 3.06% (0.083 0.08)
1-3 @ 1.74% (0.07 0.07)
2-3 @ 1.54% (0.055 0.05)
0-3 @ 0.99% (0.044 0.04)
Other @ 1.57%
Total : 20.59%

How you voted: Coventry vs Birmingham

Coventry City
73.3%
Draw
23.3%
Birmingham City
3.3%
30
Head to Head
Sep 17, 2022 3pm
Apr 15, 2022 3pm
gameweek 42
Birmingham
2-4
Coventry
Pedersen (12'), Gardner (39')
Bacuna (4'), Roberts (40'), Richards (90+3'), Woods (90+5')
Sheaf (40', 45+4'), Rose (71'), O'Hare (90')
Nov 23, 2021 7.45pm
gameweek 19
Coventry
0-0
Birmingham

Sanderson (54'), Roberts (76'), Sunjic (90+1')
Woods (82')
Jan 30, 2021 3pm
gameweek 27
Birmingham
1-1
Coventry
Bela (18' pen.)
Colin (20'), Sunjic (42'), San Jose (44')
Hamer (29')
Hamer (72')
Nov 20, 2020 7.45pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CBurnley4629143873552101
4Middlesbrough462291584562875
5Coventry CityCoventry4618161258461270
6Sunderland4618151368551369
7Blackburn RoversBlackburn46209175254-269
8Millwall461911165750768
9West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom461812165953666
10Swansea CitySwansea461812166864466
11Watford461615155653363
12Preston North EndPreston461712174559-1463
13Norwich CityNorwich461711185754362
14Bristol City461514175556-159
15Hull City461416165161-1058
16Stoke CityStoke461411215554153
17Birmingham CityBirmingham461411214758-1153
18Huddersfield TownHuddersfield461411214762-1553
19Rotherham UnitedRotherham461117184960-1150
20Queens Park RangersQPR461311224471-2750
21Cardiff CityCardiff461310234158-1749
RReading461311224668-2244
RBlackpool461111244872-2444
RWigan AthleticWigan461015213865-2742

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