Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millwall win with a probability of 51.82%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Birmingham City had a probability of 22.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.03%) and 2-1 (9.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.05%), while for a Birmingham City win it was 0-1 (7.76%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Millwall | Draw | Birmingham City | 
| 51.82% (  -0) | 25.51% (  -0) | 22.67% (  0) | 
| Both teams to score 47.86% (  0) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 45.3% (  0) | 54.7% (  -0) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 23.98% (  0) | 76.02% (  -0) | 
| Millwall Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 78.86% (  0) | 21.14% (  -0) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 46.01% (  0) | 53.99% | 
| Birmingham City Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 60.68% (  0) | 39.32% (  -0) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 23.98% (  0) | 76.02% (  -0) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Millwall | Draw | Birmingham City | 
| 1-0 @ 12.91% 2-0 @ 10.03% 2-1 @ 9.37% 3-0 @ 5.2% 3-1 @ 4.85% 3-2 @ 2.27% 4-0 @ 2.02% 4-1 @ 1.89% Other @ 3.27% Total : 51.81% | 1-1 @ 12.05% 0-0 @ 8.31% (  -0) 2-2 @ 4.37% Other @ 0.77% Total : 25.51% | 0-1 @ 7.76% 1-2 @ 5.63% (  0) 0-2 @ 3.62% 1-3 @ 1.75% 2-3 @ 1.36% 0-3 @ 1.13% Other @ 1.42% Total : 22.67% | 
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Burnley | 46 | 29 | 14 | 3 | 87 | 35 | 52 | 101 | 
| P | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 46 | 28 | 7 | 11 | 73 | 39 | 34 | 91 | 
| P | Luton TownLuton | 46 | 21 | 17 | 8 | 57 | 39 | 18 | 80 | 
| 4 | Middlesbrough | 46 | 22 | 9 | 15 | 84 | 56 | 28 | 75 | 
| 5 | Coventry CityCoventry | 46 | 18 | 16 | 12 | 58 | 46 | 12 | 70 | 
| 6 | Sunderland | 46 | 18 | 15 | 13 | 68 | 55 | 13 | 69 | 
| 7 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 46 | 20 | 9 | 17 | 52 | 54 | -2 | 69 | 
| 8 | Millwall | 46 | 19 | 11 | 16 | 57 | 50 | 7 | 68 | 
| 9 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 46 | 18 | 12 | 16 | 59 | 53 | 6 | 66 | 
| 10 | Swansea CitySwansea | 46 | 18 | 12 | 16 | 68 | 64 | 4 | 66 | 
| 11 | Watford | 46 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 56 | 53 | 3 | 63 | 
| 12 | Preston North EndPreston | 46 | 17 | 12 | 17 | 45 | 59 | -14 | 63 | 
| 13 | Norwich CityNorwich | 46 | 17 | 11 | 18 | 57 | 54 | 3 | 62 | 
| 14 | Bristol City | 46 | 15 | 14 | 17 | 55 | 56 | -1 | 59 | 
| 15 | Hull City | 46 | 14 | 16 | 16 | 51 | 61 | -10 | 58 | 
| 16 | Stoke CityStoke | 46 | 14 | 11 | 21 | 55 | 54 | 1 | 53 | 
| 17 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 46 | 14 | 11 | 21 | 47 | 58 | -11 | 53 | 
| 18 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 46 | 14 | 11 | 21 | 47 | 62 | -15 | 53 | 
| 19 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 46 | 11 | 17 | 18 | 49 | 60 | -11 | 50 | 
| 20 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 46 | 13 | 11 | 22 | 44 | 71 | -27 | 50 | 
| 21 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 46 | 13 | 10 | 23 | 41 | 58 | -17 | 49 | 
| R | Reading | 46 | 13 | 11 | 22 | 46 | 68 | -22 | 44 | 
| R | Blackpool | 46 | 11 | 11 | 24 | 48 | 72 | -24 | 44 | 
| R | Wigan AthleticWigan | 46 | 10 | 15 | 21 | 38 | 65 | -27 | 42 | 
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