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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millwall win with a probability of 37.89%. A win for Birmingham City had a probability of 32.05% and a draw had a probability of 30.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.51%) and 2-1 (7.39%). The likeliest Birmingham City win was 0-1 (12.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Millwall would win this match.
Result | ||
Millwall | Draw | Birmingham City |
37.89% | 30.05% | 32.05% |
Both teams to score 41.71% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
34.52% | 65.47% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
15.78% | 84.22% |
Millwall Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.62% | 33.38% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.99% | 70% |
Birmingham City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.61% | 37.38% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.83% | 74.17% |
Score Analysis |
Millwall | Draw | Birmingham City |
1-0 @ 13.69% 2-0 @ 7.51% 2-1 @ 7.39% 3-0 @ 2.75% 3-1 @ 2.7% 3-2 @ 1.33% Other @ 2.52% Total : 37.89% | 1-1 @ 13.47% 0-0 @ 12.47% 2-2 @ 3.64% Other @ 0.47% Total : 30.04% | 0-1 @ 12.27% 1-2 @ 6.63% 0-2 @ 6.04% 1-3 @ 2.17% 0-3 @ 1.98% 2-3 @ 1.19% Other @ 1.76% Total : 32.05% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
P | Burnley | 42 | 26 | 14 | 2 | 80 | 32 | 48 | 92 |
2 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 42 | 25 | 7 | 10 | 65 | 36 | 29 | 82 |
3 | Luton TownLuton | 42 | 20 | 14 | 8 | 53 | 36 | 17 | 74 |
4 | Middlesbrough | 42 | 21 | 8 | 13 | 79 | 51 | 28 | 71 |
5 | Millwall | 43 | 18 | 11 | 14 | 50 | 42 | 8 | 65 |
6 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 42 | 17 | 12 | 13 | 54 | 45 | 9 | 63 |
7 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 41 | 19 | 6 | 16 | 45 | 47 | -2 | 63 |
8 | Sunderland | 43 | 16 | 14 | 13 | 61 | 52 | 9 | 62 |
9 | Coventry CityCoventry | 42 | 16 | 14 | 12 | 52 | 43 | 9 | 62 |
10 | Preston North EndPreston | 42 | 17 | 11 | 14 | 41 | 47 | -6 | 62 |
11 | Norwich CityNorwich | 42 | 17 | 10 | 15 | 55 | 47 | 8 | 61 |
12 | Watford | 42 | 15 | 14 | 13 | 51 | 47 | 4 | 59 |
13 | Swansea CitySwansea | 42 | 15 | 11 | 16 | 57 | 59 | -2 | 56 |
14 | Bristol City | 43 | 13 | 14 | 16 | 50 | 53 | -3 | 53 |
15 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 43 | 14 | 11 | 18 | 46 | 53 | -7 | 53 |
16 | Hull City | 42 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 48 | 57 | -9 | 53 |
17 | Stoke CityStoke | 43 | 14 | 10 | 19 | 54 | 50 | 4 | 52 |
18 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 42 | 10 | 16 | 16 | 46 | 56 | -10 | 46 |
19 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 43 | 11 | 11 | 21 | 42 | 61 | -19 | 44 |
20 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 42 | 11 | 10 | 21 | 40 | 67 | -27 | 43 |
21 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 41 | 11 | 9 | 21 | 34 | 50 | -16 | 42 |
22 | Reading | 42 | 13 | 9 | 20 | 43 | 62 | -19 | 42 |
23 | Blackpool | 43 | 9 | 11 | 23 | 44 | 69 | -25 | 38 |
24 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 43 | 9 | 13 | 21 | 35 | 63 | -28 | 37 |
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