Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Olimpia win with a probability of 44.97%. A draw had a probability of 27.6% and a win for Patronato had a probability of 27.39%.

The most likely scoreline for a Olimpia win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.82%) and 2-1 (8.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.9%), while for a Patronato win it was 0-1 (9.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Olimpia in this match.