Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
May 5, 2022 at 1am UK
Estadio Manuel Ferreira
Olimpia1 - 0Penarol
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between Olimpia and Penarol.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Cerro Porteno 0-1 Olimpia
Thursday, May 26 at 1am in Copa Libertadores
Thursday, May 26 at 1am in Copa Libertadores
Next Game: Olimpia vs. Atletico GO
Friday, July 1 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana
Friday, July 1 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Penarol 0-1 Cerro Largo
Saturday, June 4 at 8pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Saturday, June 4 at 8pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 4 | Boston River | 15 | 4 | 27 |
| 5 | Penarol | 15 | 4 | 26 |
| 6 | Danubio | 15 | 4 | 24 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Olimpia win with a probability of 51.71%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Penarol had a probability of 23.19%.
The most likely scoreline for a Olimpia win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.71%) and 2-1 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.91%), while for a Penarol win it was 0-1 (7.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Olimpia in this match.
| Result | ||
| Olimpia | Draw | Penarol |
| 51.71% | 25.1% | 23.19% |
| Both teams to score 49.65% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
