We said: Oldham Athletic 2-1 Halifax Town
Having already beaten Halifax twice at Boundary Park this season, Oldham should be confident of repeating the trick to reach the semi-finals of the playoffs.
The Shaymen were shaky on the road at Wealdstone last time out, and we feel that the low-scorers will fall just short on Wednesday night, ending their dreams of League Two football next term.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oldham Athletic win with a probability of 46.91%. A draw had a probability of 26.7% and a win for Halifax Town had a probability of 26.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oldham Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.02%) and 2-1 (8.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.61%), while for a Halifax Town win it was 0-1 (8.86%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Oldham Athletic would win this match.