Flamengo
Brasileiro | Gameweek 11
Jun 1, 2025 at 10.30pm UK
Estadio Jornalista Mario Filho
Fortaleza

Flamengo
5 - 0
Fortaleza

De Arrascaeta (30'), Gustavo Fernandes Araujo (48'), Araujo (56', 74'), Michael (71')
Sandro (19')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Welison (67')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Brasileiro clash between Flamengo and Fortaleza, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Flamengo

All competitions
Brasileiro
Last Game: Flamengo 1-0 Tachira
Thursday, May 29 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores

Fortaleza

All competitions
Brasileiro
Last Game: Racing 1-0 Fortaleza
Friday, May 30 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 71.7%. A draw had a probability of 18.3% and a win for Fortaleza had a probability of 9.96%.

The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.44%) and 3-0 (10.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.6%), while for a Fortaleza win it was 0-1 (4.07%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Flamengo would win this match.

Result
FlamengoDrawFortaleza
71.7% (1.355 1.35)18.35% (-0.307 -0.31)9.96% (-1.042 -1.04)
Both teams to score 41.57% (-2.679 -2.68)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52% (-1.536 -1.54)48% (1.543 1.54)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.83% (-1.427 -1.43)70.17% (1.433 1.43)
Flamengo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.95% (-0.063000000000002 -0.06)12.05% (0.07 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.46% (-0.14 -0.14)37.54% (0.146 0.15)
Fortaleza Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
47.26% (-3.008 -3.01)52.74% (3.013 3.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
13.52% (-2.012 -2.01)86.48% (2.017 2.02)
Score Analysis
    Flamengo 71.67%
    Fortaleza 9.96%
    Draw 18.35%
FlamengoDrawFortaleza
2-0 @ 14.22% (0.81 0.81)
1-0 @ 13.44% (0.8 0.8)
3-0 @ 10.03% (0.543 0.54)
2-1 @ 9.1% (-0.266 -0.27)
3-1 @ 6.42% (-0.205 -0.21)
4-0 @ 5.31% (0.278 0.28)
4-1 @ 3.4% (-0.118 -0.12)
5-0 @ 2.25% (0.112 0.11)
3-2 @ 2.05% (-0.261 -0.26)
5-1 @ 1.44% (-0.054 -0.05)
4-2 @ 1.09% (-0.141 -0.14)
Other @ 2.92%
Total : 71.67%
1-1 @ 8.6% (-0.228 -0.23)
0-0 @ 6.35% (0.397 0.4)
2-2 @ 2.91% (-0.361 -0.36)
Other @ 0.48%
Total : 18.35%
0-1 @ 4.07% (-0.095999999999999 -0.1)
1-2 @ 2.75% (-0.332 -0.33)
0-2 @ 1.3% (-0.154 -0.15)
Other @ 1.84%
Total : 9.96%

How you voted: Flamengo vs Fortaleza

Flamengo
90.0%
Draw
10.0%
Fortaleza
0.0%
10
Head to Head
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Jul 12, 2024 12am
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Pedro (39' pen.)
Rodrigues de Souza (57')
Wesley (11' og.), Martin Lucero (63')
Cardona (38')
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Nov 5, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 32
Fortaleza
0-2
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Machuca (42')
Pedro (45'), Araujo (87')
Maia (41'), Luis (57'), Pulgar (62')
Jul 1, 2023 10.30pm
Gameweek 13
Flamengo
2-0
Fortaleza
Barbosa (14'), De Arrascaeta (64')
Pulgar (44'), Henrique (57')
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Sep 28, 2022 11pm
Gameweek 28
Fortaleza
3-2
Flamengo
Rocha (18', 51'), Alexandre (90+4')
Barbosa (32', 45+5')
> Preview