Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 47.38%. A draw had a probability of 26.9% and a win for Fortaleza had a probability of 25.68%.
The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.27%) and 1-2 (8.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.64%), while for a Fortaleza win it was 1-0 (8.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Palmeiras would win this match.