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Major League Soccer

Orlando City
Major League Soccer
Jun 1, 2025 at 12.30am UK
Spectrum Stadium
Chicago Fire

Orlando City
1 - 3
Chicago Fire

Freeman (39', 39')
Jansson (45'), Jansson (45'), Schlegel (49'), Schlegel (49')
FT(HT: 2-6)
Zinckernagel (5', 5'), Cuypers (31', 31', 32', 32')
Cupps (22'), Cupps (22'), Pineda (27'), Pineda (27')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's MLS Playoffs clash between Orlando City and Chicago Fire, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Orlando City

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last Game: Atlanta 3-2 Orlando City
Thursday, May 29 at 12.30am in MLS Playoffs

Chicago Fire

All competitions
Last Game: NY City 3-1 Chicago Fire
Sunday, May 25 at 8pm in Major League Soccer

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Orlando City win with a probability of 61.74%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for Chicago Fire had a probability of 18.47%.

The most likely scoreline for a Orlando City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.72%) and 1-0 (7.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.91%), while for a Chicago Fire win it was 1-2 (5.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.

Result
Orlando CityDrawChicago Fire
61.74% (0.455 0.45)19.8% (-0.219 -0.22)18.47% (-0.233 -0.23)
Both teams to score 60.01% (0.354 0.35)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.5% (0.666 0.67)35.5% (-0.662 -0.66)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.46% (0.733 0.73)57.55% (-0.73 -0.73)
Orlando City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.9% (0.32000000000001 0.32)11.1% (-0.318 -0.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.5% (0.696 0.7)35.5% (-0.694 -0.69)
Chicago Fire Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.5% (0.158 0.16)32.5% (-0.155 -0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.98% (0.179 0.18)69.02% (-0.17699999999999 -0.18)
Score Analysis
    Orlando City 61.74%
    Chicago Fire 18.47%
    Draw 19.8%
Orlando CityDrawChicago Fire
2-1 @ 9.8% (-0.029 -0.03)
2-0 @ 8.72% (-0.063000000000001 -0.06)
1-0 @ 7.93% (-0.161 -0.16)
3-1 @ 7.18% (0.072 0.07)
3-0 @ 6.39% (0.037 0.04)
3-2 @ 4.03% (0.057 0.06)
4-1 @ 3.94% (0.089 0.09)
4-0 @ 3.51% (0.065 0.07)
4-2 @ 2.22% (0.06 0.06)
5-1 @ 1.73% (0.061 0.06)
5-0 @ 1.54% (0.048 0.05)
5-2 @ 0.98% (0.039 0.04)
Other @ 3.78%
Total : 61.74%
1-1 @ 8.91% (-0.143 -0.14)
2-2 @ 5.51% (0.008 0.01)
0-0 @ 3.61% (-0.121 -0.12)
3-3 @ 1.51% (0.027 0.03)
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 19.8%
1-2 @ 5.01% (-0.058999999999999 -0.06)
0-1 @ 4.06% (-0.118 -0.12)
0-2 @ 2.28% (-0.056 -0.06)
2-3 @ 2.06% (0.012 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.88% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 3.18%
Total : 18.47%

How you voted: Orlando City vs Chicago Fire

Orlando City
73.7%
Draw
5.3%
Chicago Fire
21.1%
19
Head to Head
May 4, 2025 1.30am
Chicago Fire
0-0
Orlando City
Oregel Jr. (27'), Gutierrez (45'), Gutman (70')
Brady (36')
Dan Thor­halls­son (89')
> Preview
Jun 23, 2024 12.30am
Orlando City
4-2
Chicago Fire
Torres (4', 60'), Muriel (20' pen.), Angulo (29')
Araujo (83')
Haile-Selassie (53' pen.), Cuypers (69')
Cuypers (46')
> Preview
May 30, 2024 1.30am
Chicago Fire
1-1
Orlando City
Cuypers (71')
Navarro (47'), Gutierrez (54'), Dean (90+2')
Torres (4')
Jansson (46')
> Preview
Aug 21, 2023 1.30am
Chicago Fire
1-3
Orlando City
Pineda (47')
Gimenez (59'), Doumbia (71'), Shaqiri (74'), Pineda (76')
Cartagena (50'), Angulo (54'), Torres (68' pen.)
Schlegel (34'), Torres (55')
> Preview
Jul 2, 2023 12.30am
Orlando City
3-1
Chicago Fire
Torres (38', 55' pen.), Enrique (75')
Jansson (35'), Dan Thor­halls­son (90+9')
Shaqiri (66' pen.)
Souquet (20'), Navarro (72')
Souquet (84')
> Preview