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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Orlando City win with a probability of 56.22%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Chicago Fire had a probability of 20.85%.
The most likely scoreline for a Orlando City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.87%) and 2-0 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.87%), while for a Chicago Fire win it was 0-1 (5.99%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Orlando City would win this match.
Result | ||
Orlando City | Draw | Chicago Fire |
56.22% (![]() | 22.93% (![]() | 20.85% (![]() |
Both teams to score 53.28% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.69% (![]() | 46.31% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.4% (![]() | 68.6% (![]() |
Orlando City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.72% | 16.28% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.17% (![]() | 45.83% (![]() |
Chicago Fire Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.64% (![]() | 36.36% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.85% (![]() | 73.15% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Orlando City | Draw | Chicago Fire |
1-0 @ 10.74% (![]() 2-1 @ 9.87% 2-0 @ 9.75% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 5.97% 3-0 @ 5.9% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.02% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 2.71% 4-0 @ 2.68% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.37% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 0.98% 5-0 @ 0.97% ( ![]() Other @ 2.25% Total : 56.22% | 1-1 @ 10.87% 0-0 @ 5.92% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 4.99% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.02% ( ![]() Other @ 0.13% Total : 22.92% | 0-1 @ 5.99% (![]() 1-2 @ 5.5% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 3.03% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 1.85% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.68% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.02% ( ![]() Other @ 1.78% Total : 20.85% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 20 | 13 | 5 | 2 | 32 | 21 | 11 | 44 |
2 | Nashville SCNashville | 21 | 11 | 5 | 5 | 30 | 16 | 14 | 38 |
3 | New England RevolutionNew England | 20 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 35 | 25 | 10 | 37 |
4 | Columbus Crew | 20 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 40 | 27 | 13 | 34 |
5 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 20 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 34 | 21 | 13 | 34 |
6 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 21 | 8 | 8 | 5 | 38 | 35 | 3 | 32 |
7 | Orlando City | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 28 | 23 | 5 | 31 |
8 | DC United | 21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 29 | 28 | 1 | 26 |
9 | CF MontrealMontreal | 20 | 8 | 2 | 10 | 20 | 28 | -8 | 26 |
10 | New York City FCNY City | 21 | 5 | 9 | 7 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 24 |
11 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 20 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 27 | 35 | -8 | 24 |
12 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 20 | 5 | 8 | 7 | 18 | 20 | -2 | 23 |
13 | Chicago Fire | 20 | 5 | 8 | 7 | 26 | 31 | -5 | 23 |
14 | Toronto | 21 | 3 | 10 | 8 | 18 | 27 | -9 | 19 |
15 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 19 | 5 | 1 | 13 | 18 | 29 | -11 | 16 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | St Louis City | 20 | 11 | 2 | 7 | 39 | 24 | 15 | 35 |
2 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 28 | 21 | 7 | 32 |
3 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 21 | 9 | 5 | 7 | 25 | 18 | 7 | 32 |
4 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 21 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 26 | 31 | -5 | 30 |
5 | Dallas | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 29 |
6 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 25 | 28 | -3 | 28 |
7 | Houston DynamoHouston | 20 | 8 | 3 | 9 | 24 | 26 | -2 | 27 |
8 | Austin FCAustin | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 25 | 28 | -3 | 26 |
9 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 19 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 30 | 26 | 4 | 25 |
10 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 26 | 30 | -4 | 24 |
11 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 19 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 24 |
12 | Portland TimbersPortland | 21 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 23 | 31 | -8 | 22 |
13 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 19 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 18 | 31 | -13 | 16 |
14 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 20 | 2 | 8 | 10 | 14 | 29 | -15 | 14 |