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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nashville SC win with a probability of 57.46%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for DC United had a probability of 19.53%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nashville SC win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.41%) and 2-1 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.94%), while for a DC United win it was 0-1 (6.09%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Nashville SC would win this match.
Result | ||
Nashville SC | Draw | DC United |
57.46% (![]() | 23.01% (![]() | 19.53% (![]() |
Both teams to score 50.95% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.62% (![]() | 48.37% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.48% (![]() | 70.51% (![]() |
Nashville SC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.42% (![]() | 16.58% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.62% (![]() | 46.37% (![]() |
DC United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.08% (![]() | 38.92% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.35% (![]() | 75.65% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Nashville SC | Draw | DC United |
1-0 @ 11.59% (![]() 2-0 @ 10.41% 2-1 @ 9.83% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 6.24% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 5.89% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 2.8% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.78% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 2.65% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.25% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 1.01% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 0.95% ( ![]() Other @ 2.04% Total : 57.44% | 1-1 @ 10.94% 0-0 @ 6.45% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 4.64% Other @ 0.97% Total : 23.01% | 0-1 @ 6.09% (![]() 1-2 @ 5.16% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 2.87% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 1.62% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.46% 0-3 @ 0.9% ( ![]() Other @ 1.42% Total : 19.53% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 20 | 13 | 5 | 2 | 32 | 21 | 11 | 44 |
2 | Nashville SCNashville | 21 | 11 | 5 | 5 | 30 | 16 | 14 | 38 |
3 | New England RevolutionNew England | 20 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 35 | 25 | 10 | 37 |
4 | Columbus Crew | 20 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 40 | 27 | 13 | 34 |
5 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 20 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 34 | 22 | 12 | 34 |
6 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 21 | 8 | 8 | 5 | 39 | 35 | 4 | 32 |
7 | Orlando City | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 28 | 23 | 5 | 31 |
8 | DC United | 21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 29 | 28 | 1 | 26 |
9 | CF MontrealMontreal | 20 | 8 | 2 | 10 | 20 | 28 | -8 | 26 |
10 | New York City FCNY City | 21 | 5 | 9 | 7 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 24 |
11 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 20 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 27 | 35 | -8 | 24 |
12 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 20 | 5 | 8 | 7 | 18 | 20 | -2 | 23 |
13 | Chicago Fire | 20 | 5 | 8 | 7 | 26 | 31 | -5 | 23 |
14 | Toronto | 21 | 3 | 10 | 8 | 18 | 27 | -9 | 19 |
15 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 19 | 5 | 1 | 13 | 18 | 29 | -11 | 16 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | St Louis City | 20 | 11 | 2 | 7 | 39 | 24 | 15 | 35 |
2 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 28 | 21 | 7 | 32 |
3 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 21 | 9 | 5 | 7 | 25 | 18 | 7 | 32 |
4 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 21 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 26 | 31 | -5 | 30 |
5 | Dallas | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 29 |
6 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 25 | 28 | -3 | 28 |
7 | Houston DynamoHouston | 20 | 8 | 3 | 9 | 24 | 26 | -2 | 27 |
8 | Austin FCAustin | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 25 | 28 | -3 | 26 |
9 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 19 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 30 | 26 | 4 | 25 |
10 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 26 | 30 | -4 | 24 |
11 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 19 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 24 |
12 | Portland TimbersPortland | 21 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 23 | 31 | -8 | 22 |
13 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 19 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 18 | 31 | -13 | 16 |
14 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 20 | 2 | 8 | 10 | 14 | 29 | -15 | 14 |