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| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 8 | Toronto | 15 | -8 | 15 | 
| 9 | Chicago Fire | 15 | -6 | 14 | 
| 10 | DC United | 14 | -8 | 14 | 
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 4 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 15 | 1 | 24 | 
| 5 | Nashville SC | 16 | 1 | 23 | 
| 6 | Seattle Sounders | 14 | 3 | 20 | 
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a DC United win with a probability of 41.32%. A win for Nashville SC had a probability of 31.35% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a DC United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.49%) and 2-0 (7.67%). The likeliest Nashville SC win was 0-1 (9.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Nashville SC would win this match.
| Result | ||
| DC United | Draw | Nashville SC | 
| 41.32% (  0.09) | 27.33% (  -0.07) | 31.35% (  -0.01) | 
| Both teams to score 48.96% (  0.21) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 43.59% (  0.27) | 56.41% (  -0.27) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 22.58% (  0.22) | 77.42% (  -0.22) | 
| DC United Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 73.13% (  0.17) | 26.87% (  -0.17) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 37.81% (  0.22) | 62.18% (  -0.23) | 
| Nashville SC Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 66.96% (  0.13) | 33.04% (  -0.13) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 30.37% (  0.14) | 69.63% (  -0.15) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| DC United | Draw | Nashville SC | 
| 1-0 @ 11.66% (  -0.07) 2-1 @ 8.49% (  0.03) 2-0 @ 7.67% (  -0) 3-1 @ 3.72% (  0.03) 3-0 @ 3.36% (  0.01) 3-2 @ 2.06% (  0.02) 4-1 @ 1.22% (  0.02) 4-0 @ 1.1% (  0.01) Other @ 2.03% Total : 41.31% | 1-1 @ 12.92% (  -0.02) 0-0 @ 8.88% (  -0.09) 2-2 @ 4.7% (  0.03) Other @ 0.83% Total : 27.33% | 0-1 @ 9.83% (  -0.07) 1-2 @ 7.15% (  0.01) 0-2 @ 5.44% (  -0.02) 1-3 @ 2.64% (  0.01) 0-3 @ 2.01% (  0) 2-3 @ 1.74% (  0.02) Other @ 2.53% Total : 31.35% | 
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | New England RevolutionNew England | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 24 | 
| 2 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 15 | 12 | 3 | 24 | 
| 3 | Nashville SCNashville | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 
| 4 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 21 | 21 | 0 | 18 | 
| 5 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 17 | 14 | 3 | 17 | 
| 6 | Columbus Crew | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 21 | 14 | 7 | 15 | 
| 7 | DC United | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 15 | 
| 8 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 11 | 5 | 0 | 6 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 15 | 
| 9 | New York City FCNY City | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 15 | -1 | 15 | 
| 10 | Orlando City | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 15 | 
| 11 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 16 | 22 | -6 | 15 | 
| 12 | CF MontrealMontreal | 11 | 5 | 0 | 6 | 11 | 17 | -6 | 15 | 
| 13 | Chicago Fire | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 14 | 
| 14 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 12 | 
| 15 | Toronto | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 13 | 17 | -4 | 12 | 
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 19 | 9 | 10 | 23 | 
| 2 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 20 | 8 | 12 | 21 | 
| 3 | St Louis City | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 22 | 13 | 9 | 20 | 
| 4 | Dallas | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 19 | 
| 5 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 18 | 
| 6 | Portland TimbersPortland | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 18 | 19 | -1 | 15 | 
| 7 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 15 | 12 | 3 | 14 | 
| 8 | Houston DynamoHouston | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 14 | 
| 9 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 14 | -4 | 12 | 
| 10 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 14 | -4 | 12 | 
| 11 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 20 | -10 | 11 | 
| 12 | Austin FCAustin | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 10 | 
| 13 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 16 | -8 | 9 | 
| 14 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 17 | -9 | 6 | 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
