

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 85.19%. A draw had a probability of 10.8% and a win for Santa Clara had a probability of 4.02%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (13.91%) and 1-0 (10.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.04%), while for a Santa Clara win it was 0-1 (1.81%). The actual scoreline of 5-3 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Braga would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Braga | Draw | Santa Clara | 
| 85.19% ( | 10.79% ( | 4.02% | 
| Both teams to score 35.12% | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 63.17% ( | 36.83% ( | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 41% ( | 59% ( | 
| Braga Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 93.84% ( | 6.16% ( | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 76.68% | 23.32% ( | 
| Santa Clara Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 37.42% | 62.58% ( | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 8.09% | 91.91% ( | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Braga | Draw | Santa Clara | 
| 2-0 @ 14.97% 3-0 @ 13.91% 1-0 @ 10.74% 4-0 @ 9.69% ( 2-1 @ 7.02% 3-1 @ 6.52% 5-0 @ 5.4% 4-1 @ 4.54% 5-1 @ 2.53% 6-0 @ 2.51% ( 3-2 @ 1.53% 6-1 @ 1.18% 4-2 @ 1.07% 7-0 @ 1% Other @ 2.58% Total : 85.19%  | 1-1 @ 5.04% 0-0 @ 3.85% ( 2-2 @ 1.65% Other @ 0.26% Total : 10.79%  | 0-1 @ 1.81% 1-2 @ 1.18% Other @ 1.03% Total : 4.02%  | 
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Benfica | 34 | 28 | 3 | 3 | 82 | 20 | 62 | 87 | 
| 2 | Porto | 34 | 27 | 4 | 3 | 73 | 22 | 51 | 85 | 
| 3 | Braga | 34 | 25 | 3 | 6 | 75 | 30 | 45 | 78 | 
| 4 | Sporting Lisbon | 34 | 23 | 5 | 6 | 71 | 32 | 39 | 74 | 
| 5 | AroucaArouca | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 36 | 37 | -1 | 54 | 
| 6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 34 | 16 | 5 | 13 | 34 | 39 | -5 | 53 | 
| 7 | ChavesChaves | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 35 | 40 | -5 | 46 | 
| 8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 34 | 13 | 5 | 16 | 39 | 47 | -8 | 44 | 
| 9 | BoavistaBoavista | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 43 | 54 | -11 | 44 | 
| 10 | Casa Pia | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 31 | 40 | -9 | 41 | 
| 11 | Vizela | 34 | 11 | 7 | 16 | 34 | 38 | -4 | 40 | 
| 12 | Rio AveRio Ave | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 36 | 43 | -7 | 40 | 
| 13 | Gil Vicente | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 32 | 41 | -9 | 37 | 
| 14 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 34 | 10 | 5 | 19 | 33 | 49 | -16 | 35 | 
| 15 | PortimonensePortimonense | 34 | 10 | 4 | 20 | 25 | 48 | -23 | 34 | 
| 16 | Maritimo | 34 | 7 | 5 | 22 | 32 | 63 | -31 | 26 | 
| 17 | Pacos de FerreiraPacos de Ferreira | 34 | 6 | 5 | 23 | 26 | 62 | -36 | 23 | 
| R | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 34 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 26 | 58 | -32 | 22 | 
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