Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 85.19%. A draw had a probability of 10.8% and a win for Santa Clara had a probability of 4.02%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (13.91%) and 1-0 (10.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.04%), while for a Santa Clara win it was 0-1 (1.81%). The actual scoreline of 5-3 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Braga would win this match.
Result | ||
Braga | Draw | Santa Clara |
85.19% (![]() | 10.79% (![]() | 4.02% |
Both teams to score 35.12% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
63.17% (![]() | 36.83% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
41% (![]() | 59% (![]() |
Braga Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
93.84% (![]() | 6.16% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
76.68% | 23.32% (![]() |
Santa Clara Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
37.42% | 62.58% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
8.09% | 91.91% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Braga | Draw | Santa Clara |
2-0 @ 14.97% 3-0 @ 13.91% 1-0 @ 10.74% 4-0 @ 9.69% ( ![]() 2-1 @ 7.02% 3-1 @ 6.52% 5-0 @ 5.4% 4-1 @ 4.54% 5-1 @ 2.53% 6-0 @ 2.51% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 1.53% 6-1 @ 1.18% 4-2 @ 1.07% 7-0 @ 1% Other @ 2.58% Total : 85.19% | 1-1 @ 5.04% 0-0 @ 3.85% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 1.65% Other @ 0.26% Total : 10.79% | 0-1 @ 1.81% 1-2 @ 1.18% Other @ 1.03% Total : 4.02% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Benfica | 34 | 28 | 3 | 3 | 82 | 20 | 62 | 87 |
2 | Porto | 34 | 27 | 4 | 3 | 73 | 22 | 51 | 85 |
3 | Braga | 34 | 25 | 3 | 6 | 75 | 30 | 45 | 78 |
4 | Sporting Lisbon | 34 | 23 | 5 | 6 | 71 | 32 | 39 | 74 |
5 | AroucaArouca | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 36 | 37 | -1 | 54 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 34 | 16 | 5 | 13 | 34 | 39 | -5 | 53 |
7 | ChavesChaves | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 35 | 40 | -5 | 46 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 34 | 13 | 5 | 16 | 39 | 47 | -8 | 44 |
9 | BoavistaBoavista | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 43 | 54 | -11 | 44 |
10 | Casa Pia | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 31 | 40 | -9 | 41 |
11 | Vizela | 34 | 11 | 7 | 16 | 34 | 38 | -4 | 40 |
12 | Rio AveRio Ave | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 36 | 43 | -7 | 40 |
13 | Gil Vicente | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 32 | 41 | -9 | 37 |
14 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 34 | 10 | 5 | 19 | 33 | 49 | -16 | 35 |
15 | PortimonensePortimonense | 34 | 10 | 4 | 20 | 25 | 48 | -23 | 34 |
16 | Maritimo | 34 | 7 | 5 | 22 | 32 | 63 | -31 | 26 |
17 | Pacos de FerreiraPacos de Ferreira | 34 | 6 | 5 | 23 | 26 | 62 | -36 | 23 |
R | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 34 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 26 | 58 | -32 | 22 |
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