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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Volendam win with a probability of 53%. A win for SBV Excelsior had a probability of 24.12% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Volendam win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.16%) and 2-0 (8.39%). The likeliest SBV Excelsior win was 1-2 (6.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.66%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FC Volendam would win this match.
Result | ||
FC Volendam | Draw | SBV Excelsior |
53% (![]() | 22.88% (![]() | 24.12% (![]() |
Both teams to score 57.76% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.59% (![]() | 42.41% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.18% (![]() | 64.82% (![]() |
FC Volendam Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.99% (![]() | 16.01% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.65% (![]() | 45.34% (![]() |
SBV Excelsior Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.78% (![]() | 31.22% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.43% (![]() | 67.57% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
FC Volendam | Draw | SBV Excelsior |
2-1 @ 9.76% (![]() 1-0 @ 9.16% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 8.39% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 5.96% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 5.12% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.47% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 2.73% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 2.35% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.59% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 1% ( ![]() Other @ 3.47% Total : 53% | 1-1 @ 10.66% (![]() 2-2 @ 5.68% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 5% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.35% ( ![]() Other @ 0.2% Total : 22.88% | 1-2 @ 6.21% (![]() 0-1 @ 5.82% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 3.39% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 2.41% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.21% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.31% ( ![]() Other @ 2.78% Total : 24.12% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Ajax | 30 | 23 | 4 | 3 | 62 | 26 | 36 | 73 |
2 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 29 | 20 | 4 | 5 | 86 | 33 | 53 | 64 |
3 | Feyenoord | 29 | 17 | 8 | 4 | 64 | 32 | 32 | 59 |
4 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 30 | 17 | 8 | 5 | 57 | 42 | 15 | 59 |
5 | FC Twente | 29 | 13 | 9 | 7 | 55 | 41 | 14 | 48 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 29 | 13 | 7 | 9 | 47 | 33 | 14 | 46 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 29 | 13 | 7 | 9 | 52 | 46 | 6 | 46 |
8 | Heerenveen | 30 | 10 | 7 | 13 | 38 | 53 | -15 | 37 |
9 | Heracles | 29 | 8 | 11 | 10 | 36 | 48 | -12 | 35 |
10 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 29 | 8 | 10 | 11 | 33 | 36 | -3 | 34 |
11 | NECNijmegen | 29 | 9 | 6 | 14 | 42 | 43 | -1 | 33 |
12 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 29 | 9 | 6 | 14 | 33 | 49 | -16 | 33 |
13 | Groningen | 29 | 8 | 8 | 13 | 28 | 44 | -16 | 32 |
14 | PEC Zwolle | 29 | 7 | 10 | 12 | 35 | 44 | -9 | 31 |
15 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 29 | 8 | 7 | 14 | 31 | 49 | -18 | 31 |
16 | Willem II | 29 | 6 | 6 | 17 | 30 | 49 | -19 | 24 |
17 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 29 | 4 | 7 | 18 | 35 | 58 | -23 | 19 |
18 | Almere CityAlmere City | 30 | 4 | 7 | 19 | 21 | 59 | -38 | 19 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |