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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitesse win with a probability of 64.4%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for SBV Excelsior had a probability of 14.94%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitesse win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.69%) and 2-1 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.83%), while for a SBV Excelsior win it was 0-1 (4.92%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Vitesse | Draw | SBV Excelsior |
64.4% (![]() | 20.67% (![]() | 14.94% (![]() |
Both teams to score 49.09% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.91% (![]() | 46.09% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.61% (![]() | 68.39% (![]() |
Vitesse Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.42% (![]() | 13.58% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
59.31% (![]() | 40.69% (![]() |
SBV Excelsior Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
56.81% (![]() | 43.19% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
20.55% (![]() | 79.45% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Vitesse | Draw | SBV Excelsior |
1-0 @ 11.71% (![]() 2-0 @ 11.69% ( ![]() 2-1 @ 9.82% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 7.78% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 6.53% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 3.88% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 3.26% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.74% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 1.55% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.37% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 1.3% ( ![]() Other @ 2.76% Total : 64.4% | 1-1 @ 9.83% (![]() 0-0 @ 5.87% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 4.12% ( ![]() Other @ 0.85% Total : 20.67% | 0-1 @ 4.92% (![]() 1-2 @ 4.13% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 2.07% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 1.16% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.15% ( ![]() Other @ 1.51% Total : 14.94% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Feyenoord | 34 | 25 | 7 | 2 | 81 | 30 | 51 | 82 |
2 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 34 | 23 | 6 | 5 | 89 | 40 | 49 | 75 |
3 | Ajax | 34 | 20 | 9 | 5 | 86 | 38 | 48 | 69 |
4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 34 | 20 | 7 | 7 | 68 | 35 | 33 | 67 |
5 | FC Twente | 34 | 18 | 10 | 6 | 66 | 27 | 39 | 64 |
6 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 60 | 37 | 23 | 59 |
7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 55 | 50 | 5 | 54 |
8 | Heerenveen | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 44 | 50 | -6 | 46 |
9 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 50 | 64 | -14 | 41 |
10 | Vitesse | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 45 | 50 | -5 | 40 |
11 | Go Ahead Eagles | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 46 | 56 | -10 | 40 |
12 | NECNijmegen | 34 | 8 | 15 | 11 | 42 | 45 | -3 | 39 |
13 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 39 | 62 | -23 | 36 |
14 | FC VolendamVolendam | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 42 | 71 | -29 | 36 |
15 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 34 | 9 | 5 | 20 | 32 | 71 | -39 | 32 |
16 | EmmenEmmen | 34 | 6 | 10 | 18 | 33 | 65 | -32 | 28 |
R | Cambuur | 34 | 5 | 4 | 25 | 26 | 69 | -43 | 19 |
R | Groningen | 34 | 4 | 6 | 24 | 31 | 75 | -44 | 18 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |