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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Twente win with a probability of 55.76%. A win for SBV Excelsior had a probability of 22.41% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Twente win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.57%) and 0-2 (8.4%). The likeliest SBV Excelsior win was 2-1 (5.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.02%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
SBV Excelsior | Draw | FC Twente |
22.41% (![]() | 21.83% (![]() | 55.76% (![]() |
Both teams to score 59.24% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.54% (![]() | 39.46% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.19% (![]() | 61.81% (![]() |
SBV Excelsior Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.95% (![]() | 31.05% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.63% (![]() | 67.37% (![]() |
FC Twente Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.93% (![]() | 14.08% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
58.33% (![]() | 41.67% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
SBV Excelsior | Draw | FC Twente |
2-1 @ 5.86% (![]() 1-0 @ 5.11% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 2.99% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 2.28% 3-2 @ 2.24% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 1.17% Other @ 2.76% Total : 22.41% | 1-1 @ 10.02% 2-2 @ 5.75% 0-0 @ 4.37% 3-3 @ 1.46% Other @ 0.23% Total : 21.83% | 1-2 @ 9.83% 0-1 @ 8.57% 0-2 @ 8.4% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 6.42% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 5.49% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 3.76% 1-4 @ 3.15% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 2.69% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.84% 1-5 @ 1.24% 0-5 @ 1.06% Other @ 3.32% Total : 55.76% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Feyenoord | 33 | 25 | 7 | 1 | 81 | 29 | 52 | 82 |
2 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 33 | 22 | 6 | 5 | 87 | 39 | 48 | 72 |
3 | Ajax | 33 | 20 | 9 | 4 | 85 | 35 | 50 | 69 |
4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 33 | 20 | 7 | 6 | 67 | 33 | 34 | 67 |
5 | FC Twente | 33 | 17 | 10 | 6 | 63 | 26 | 37 | 61 |
6 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 33 | 16 | 8 | 9 | 55 | 37 | 18 | 56 |
7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 33 | 14 | 9 | 10 | 52 | 48 | 4 | 51 |
8 | Heerenveen | 33 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 42 | 50 | -8 | 43 |
9 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 33 | 11 | 8 | 14 | 50 | 60 | -10 | 41 |
10 | Go Ahead Eagles | 33 | 10 | 10 | 13 | 46 | 54 | -8 | 40 |
11 | NECNijmegen | 33 | 8 | 14 | 11 | 41 | 44 | -3 | 38 |
12 | Vitesse | 33 | 9 | 10 | 14 | 44 | 50 | -6 | 37 |
13 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 33 | 10 | 5 | 18 | 38 | 61 | -23 | 35 |
14 | FC VolendamVolendam | 33 | 9 | 6 | 18 | 39 | 69 | -30 | 33 |
15 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 33 | 9 | 5 | 19 | 30 | 68 | -38 | 32 |
16 | EmmenEmmen | 33 | 6 | 10 | 17 | 31 | 62 | -31 | 28 |
R | Groningen | 33 | 4 | 6 | 23 | 31 | 70 | -39 | 18 |
R | Cambuur | 33 | 4 | 4 | 25 | 22 | 69 | -47 | 16 |
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