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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SBV Excelsior win with a probability of 45.24%. A win for NEC had a probability of 30.23% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a SBV Excelsior win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.08%) and 2-0 (7.28%). The likeliest NEC win was 1-2 (7.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.5%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that NEC would win this match.
Result | ||
SBV Excelsior | Draw | NEC |
45.24% (![]() | 24.53% (![]() | 30.23% (![]() |
Both teams to score 57.4% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.75% (![]() | 45.25% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.4% (![]() | 67.59% (![]() |
SBV Excelsior Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.89% (![]() | 20.11% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.64% (![]() | 52.36% (![]() |
NEC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.85% (![]() | 28.15% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.17% (![]() | 63.83% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
SBV Excelsior | Draw | NEC |
2-1 @ 9.23% (![]() 1-0 @ 9.08% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 7.28% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 4.94% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 3.89% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.13% 4-1 @ 1.98% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.56% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.25% ( ![]() Other @ 2.9% Total : 45.24% | 1-1 @ 11.5% 2-2 @ 5.85% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 5.66% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.32% ( ![]() Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.52% | 1-2 @ 7.3% (![]() 0-1 @ 7.18% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 4.55% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 3.08% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.47% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.92% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 0.98% ( ![]() Other @ 2.76% Total : 30.23% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 3 |
2 | FC Twente | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 3 |
3 | Ajax | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 3 |
4 | Heerenveen | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
5 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
6 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
7 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
8 | Vitesse | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
9 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
10 | Feyenoord | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
11 | NECNijmegen | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 0 |
12 | FC VolendamVolendam | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 0 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 0 |
14 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 0 |
15 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0 |
16 | Heracles | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 0 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 0 |
18 | Go Ahead Eagles | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -4 | 0 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |