Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 40.08%. A win for Strasbourg had a probability of 33.19% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.5%) and 0-2 (7.13%). The likeliest Strasbourg win was 1-0 (9.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.7%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Strasbourg | Draw | Lyon |
| 33.19% ( | 26.73% ( | 40.08% ( |
| Both teams to score 51.37% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.38% ( | 53.61% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.88% ( | 75.11% ( |
| Strasbourg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.64% ( | 30.35% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 33.46% ( | 66.54% ( |
| Lyon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.75% ( | 26.24% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 38.65% ( | 61.35% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Strasbourg | Draw | Lyon |
| 1-0 @ 9.5% ( 2-1 @ 7.57% ( 2-0 @ 5.66% ( 3-1 @ 3.01% ( 3-0 @ 2.25% ( 3-2 @ 2.01% ( Other @ 3.18% Total : 33.19% | 1-1 @ 12.7% ( 0-0 @ 7.97% ( 2-2 @ 5.07% ( Other @ 0.99% Total : 26.73% | 0-1 @ 10.65% ( 1-2 @ 8.5% ( 0-2 @ 7.13% ( 1-3 @ 3.79% ( 0-3 @ 3.18% ( 2-3 @ 2.26% ( 1-4 @ 1.27% ( 0-4 @ 1.06% ( Other @ 2.24% Total : 40.07% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 26 | 21 | 5 | 0 | 73 | 25 | 48 | 68 |
| 2 | Marseille | 26 | 15 | 4 | 7 | 53 | 33 | 20 | 49 |
| 3 | MonacoMonaco | 26 | 14 | 5 | 7 | 51 | 32 | 19 | 47 |
| 4 | Nice | 26 | 13 | 8 | 5 | 50 | 31 | 19 | 47 |
| 5 | Lyon | 26 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 50 | 33 | 17 | 45 |
| 6 | Lille | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 40 | 28 | 12 | 44 |
| 7 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 41 | 33 | 8 | 43 |
| 8 | Lens | 26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | 31 | 29 | 2 | 39 |
| 9 | Brest | 26 | 11 | 4 | 11 | 38 | 40 | -2 | 37 |
| 10 | Toulouse | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 33 | 29 | 4 | 34 |
| 11 | Auxerre | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 37 | 39 | -2 | 32 |
| 12 | Rennes | 26 | 9 | 2 | 15 | 35 | 37 | -2 | 29 |
| 13 | NantesNantes | 26 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 29 | 43 | -14 | 27 |
| 14 | Angers | 26 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 26 | 42 | -16 | 27 |
| 15 | Reims | 26 | 5 | 8 | 13 | 26 | 40 | -14 | 23 |
| 16 | Le HavreLe Havre | 26 | 6 | 3 | 17 | 26 | 55 | -29 | 21 |
| 17 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 25 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 25 | 57 | -32 | 20 |
| 18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 25 | 4 | 3 | 18 | 21 | 59 | -38 | 15 |
| > Ligue 1 Full Table | |||||||||
