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Ligue 2 | Gameweek 28
Mar 28, 2025 at 7pm UK
Stade Armand-Cesari

Bastia
2 - 0
Dunkerque

Vincent (2'), Ble (70')
Janneh (8'), Akueson (43'), Maggiotti (89')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Raghouber (22'), Bammou (32'), Abner (77')
Coverage of the Ligue 2 clash between Bastia and Dunkerque.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bastia

All competitions
Last Game: Lorient 4-0 Bastia
Saturday, March 15 at 7pm in Ligue 2

Dunkerque

All competitions
Ligue 2
Last Game: Dunkerque 2-3 Metz
Saturday, March 15 at 1pm in Ligue 2

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bastia win with a probability of 53.44%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Dunkerque had a probability of 20.94%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bastia win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.75%) and 2-1 (9.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.98%), while for a Dunkerque win it was 0-1 (7.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bastia would win this match.

Result
BastiaDrawDunkerque
53.44% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01) 25.62% (-0.004999999999999 -0) 20.94% (0.016000000000002 0.02)
Both teams to score 45.47% (0.028999999999996 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.27% (0.031000000000006 0.03)56.73% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.32% (0.024000000000001 0.02)77.68% (-0.017999999999986 -0.02)
Bastia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.72% (0.012 0.01)21.29% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.78% (0.015000000000001 0.02)54.22% (-0.0089999999999932 -0.01)
Dunkerque Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.77% (0.032000000000004 0.03)42.23% (-0.025000000000006 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.37% (0.028000000000002 0.03)78.63% (-0.022000000000006 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Bastia 53.42%
    Dunkerque 20.94%
    Draw 25.61%
BastiaDrawDunkerque
1-0 @ 13.9% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-0 @ 10.75% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.27% (0.0019999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 5.55% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-1 @ 4.78% (0.0020000000000007 0)
4-0 @ 2.15%
3-2 @ 2.06% (0.0029999999999997 0)
4-1 @ 1.85% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 3.11%
Total : 53.42%
1-1 @ 11.98%
0-0 @ 8.99% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.64%
Total : 25.61%
0-1 @ 7.75% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-2 @ 5.17% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-2 @ 3.34% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-3 @ 1.49% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 1.15% (0.002 0)
0-3 @ 0.96% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.09%
Total : 20.94%

How you voted: Bastia vs Dunkerque

Bastia
50.0%
Draw
25.0%
Dunkerque
25.0%
16
Head to Head
Sep 24, 2024 7.30pm
Gameweek 6
Dunkerque
2-1
Bastia
Bammou (65' pen.), Foungognan Sekongo (83')
Boutrah (36')
Jose Guevara Possu (44'), Loic Onana Etoga (60')
Apr 6, 2024 6pm
Gameweek 31
Bastia
1-1
Dunkerque
Bianchini (9')
Vincent (51'), Keita (78')
Fernandez (80')
Bardeli (45+4')
Dec 5, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 17
Dunkerque
0-5
Bastia

Bilingi (35'), Laaziri (59'), Sangante (76')
Okou (2'), Alfarela (13', 68', 90+2'), Tomi (89' pen.)
Brouard (36'), Bohnert (45+2')
Mar 15, 2022 6pm
Gameweek 29
Bastia
1-0
Dunkerque
Talal (21')
Guidi (14'), Palun (58'), Roncaglia (90+2'), Santelli (90+3')

Ba (2')
Oct 2, 2021 6pm
Gameweek 11
Dunkerque
2-0
Bastia
Tchokounte (58', 86')
Tchokounte (33')

Quemper (21')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Lorient31205658283065
2Paris FCParis FC31204751312064
3Metz311710457273061
4DunkerqueDunkerque32173124639754
5GuingampGuingamp321631352421051
6Laval32147114235749
7Annecy32139103739-248
8Bastia32101483934544
9Grenoble32127133940-143
10Troyes32125153431341
11AmiensAmiens32124163447-1340
12PauPau31912103445-1139
13Ajaccio32116152839-1139
14Rodez AFRodez AF3199135149236
15Red Star3299143549-1436
16Martigues3294192750-2331
17Clermont32611152643-1729
18Caen3156202951-2221
> Ligue 2 Full Table


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