MX23RW : Sunday, May 11 02:03:20| >> :300:86500:86500:
Women's Super League | Gameweek 22
May 10, 2025 at 12.30pm UK
Villa Park

Aston Villa
3 - 1
Brighton

Salmon (5'), Daly (44'), Pacheco (74')
Daly (47')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Parris (90+4')
Agyemang (42'), Stefanovic (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Women's Super League clash between Aston Villa Women and Brighton & Hove Albion Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: West Ham 2-3 Aston Villa
Sunday, May 4 at 3pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Brighton 4-2 Arsenal
Monday, May 5 at 4pm in Women's Super League

We said: Aston Villa Women 3-2 Brighton & Hove Albion Women

Aston Villa and Brighton have both been involved in exciting matches in recent weeks, and we think that there will be plenty more goals to enjoy in Saturday's fixture. We also believe that home advantage could give the Villans a slight edge, especially as they have already recorded a head-to-head home win in 2025, which is why we are predicting a Villa win for the day of the season. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Aston Villa Women win with a probability of 47.95%. A win for Brighton & Hove Albion Women has a probability of 31.06% and a draw has a probability of 21%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa Women win is 2-1 with a probability of 8.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 3-1 (5.94%) and 2-0 (5.11%). The likeliest Brighton & Hove Albion Women win is 1-2 (6.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (8.13%).

Result
Aston Villa WomenDrawBrighton & Hove Albion Women
47.95% (-0.546 -0.55) 20.98% (0.158 0.16) 31.06% (0.383 0.38)
Both teams to score 71.07% (-0.38800000000001 -0.39)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
72.4% (-0.58799999999999 -0.59)27.59% (0.583 0.58)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
51.76% (-0.738 -0.74)48.23% (0.732 0.73)
Aston Villa Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.65% (-0.376 -0.38)12.34% (0.371 0.37)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.84% (-0.79199999999999 -0.79)38.15% (0.786 0.79)
Brighton & Hove Albion Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.07% (-0.098000000000013 -0.1)18.92% (0.093 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.57% (-0.157 -0.16)50.43% (0.153 0.15)
Score Analysis
    Aston Villa Women 47.95%
    Brighton & Hove Albion Women 31.06%
    Draw 20.98%
Aston Villa WomenDrawBrighton & Hove Albion Women
2-1 @ 8.51% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
3-1 @ 5.94% (-0.066000000000001 -0.07)
2-0 @ 5.11% (0.033 0.03)
3-2 @ 4.94% (-0.069999999999999 -0.07)
1-0 @ 4.89% (0.102 0.1)
3-0 @ 3.57% (-0.029 -0.03)
4-1 @ 3.11% (-0.081 -0.08)
4-2 @ 2.58% (-0.075 -0.07)
4-0 @ 1.87% (-0.043 -0.04)
4-3 @ 1.43% (-0.046 -0.05)
5-1 @ 1.3% (-0.054 -0.05)
5-2 @ 1.08% (-0.047 -0.05)
Other @ 3.63%
Total : 47.95%
1-1 @ 8.13% (0.146 0.15)
2-2 @ 7.08% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-3 @ 2.74% (-0.047 -0.05)
0-0 @ 2.34% (0.082 0.08)
Other @ 0.69%
Total : 20.98%
1-2 @ 6.77% (0.102 0.1)
2-3 @ 3.93% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-1 @ 3.89% (0.125 0.13)
1-3 @ 3.76% (0.046 0.05)
0-2 @ 3.24% (0.095 0.09)
0-3 @ 1.8% (0.047 0.05)
2-4 @ 1.64% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.56% (0.014 0.01)
3-4 @ 1.14% (-0.023 -0.02)
Other @ 3.35%
Total : 31.06%

Head to Head
Oct 5, 2024 12.30pm
Gameweek 3
Brighton
4-2
Aston Villa
Parris (15'), Bremer (38'), Kirby (79' pen.), Agyemang (90+7')
Pattinson (77'), Agyemang (90+1')
Pattinson (90+4')
Daly (13', 55')
Robinson (90+1'), D’Angelo (90+1')
Tomas Serer (76')
May 4, 2024 1pm
Gameweek 21
Brighton
0-1
Aston Villa
Lehmann (64')
Hanson (45+2'), Maritz (60')
Dec 17, 2023 6.45pm
Gameweek 10
Aston Villa
1-0
Brighton Women
Leon (63')
Pacheco (80'), Leon (87')
Pacheco (89')

Losada (36'), Symonds (40')
Feb 12, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 1
Brighton Women
2-6
Aston Villa
Zigiotti-Olme (3'), Carter (49' pen.)
Staniforth (15'), Hanson (17'), Nobbs (23', 43', 69'), Daly (36')
Feb 4, 2023 12.30pm
Gameweek 13
Aston Villa
1-1
Brighton Women
Green (33' og.)
Zigiotti-Olme (74')
rhs 2.0
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