J1 League | Gameweek 16
May 11, 2025 at 7am UK
KINCHO Stadium
Yokohama F Marinos

Cerezo
1 - 0
Yokohama

Ratao (24', 24')
Kagawa (41'), Kagawa (41'), Furuyama (90+2'), Furuyama (90+2')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Inoue (8'), Inoue (8'), Uenaka (65'), Uenaka (65')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Cerezo Osaka and Yokohama F Marinos.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cerezo Osaka

All competitions
Last Game: Vissel Kobe 1-3 Cerezo
Tuesday, May 6 at 6am in J1 League

Yokohama F Marinos

All competitions
J1 League
Last Game: Yokohama 1-4 Al-Nassr
Saturday, April 26 at 8.30pm in AFC Champions League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerezo Osaka win with a probability of 40.26%. A win for Yokohama F Marinos had a probability of 36.13% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cerezo Osaka win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.96%) and 2-0 (5.65%). The likeliest Yokohama F Marinos win was 1-2 (8.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cerezo Osaka would win this match.

Result
Cerezo OsakaDrawYokohama F Marinos
40.26% (0.016999999999996 0.02)23.61% (-0.029999999999998 -0.03)36.13% (0.011000000000003 0.01)
Both teams to score 62.82% (0.11499999999999 0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.93% (0.148 0.15)39.06% (-0.15 -0.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.61% (0.156 0.16)61.39% (-0.157 -0.16)
Cerezo Osaka Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.26% (0.072000000000003 0.07)19.74% (-0.074000000000002 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.23% (0.116 0.12)51.77% (-0.118 -0.12)
Yokohama F Marinos Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.27% (0.071000000000012 0.07)21.73% (-0.073 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.1% (0.111 0.11)54.9% (-0.113 -0.11)
Score Analysis
    Cerezo Osaka 40.26%
    Yokohama F Marinos 36.13%
    Draw 23.61%
Cerezo OsakaDrawYokohama F Marinos
2-1 @ 8.62% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-0 @ 6.96% (-0.033 -0.03)
2-0 @ 5.65% (-0.015 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.66% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.56% (0.015 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.05% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-1 @ 1.89% (0.008 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.44% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.24% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 3.19%
Total : 40.26%
1-1 @ 10.62% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
2-2 @ 6.58% (0.012 0.01)
0-0 @ 4.29% (-0.03 -0.03)
3-3 @ 1.81% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 23.61%
1-2 @ 8.11% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-1 @ 6.55% (-0.032 -0.03)
0-2 @ 5% (-0.013 -0.01)
1-3 @ 4.13% (0.008 0.01)
2-3 @ 3.35% (0.014 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.54% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-4 @ 1.57% (0.006 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.28% (0.008 0.01)
0-4 @ 0.97% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 36.13%

Head to Head
Aug 24, 2024 11am
Gameweek 28
Yokohama
4-0
Cerezo
Lopes (49' pen., 84'), Kato (73'), Amano (90+6')
Matsubara (64')

Kagawa (77')
Aug 24, 2024 11am
Gameweek 28
Yokohama
4-0
Cerezo
Lopes (49' pen., 84'), Kato (73'), Amano (90+6')
Matsubara (64')

Kagawa (77')
Apr 27, 2024 7am
Gameweek 10
Cerezo
2-2
Yokohama
Ceara (45+8', 68')
Mizunuma (17'), Sakakibara (59')
Popp (45'), Kato (65'), Yan (74'), Watanabe (79')
Nov 12, 2023 5am
Gameweek 32
Yokohama
2-0
Cerezo
Yan (41'), Elber (45+1')
Apr 1, 2023 8am
Gameweek 6
Cerezo
2-1
Yokohama
Dudu (16' og.), Ceara (35')
Kida (83' og.)
rhs 2.0
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Kashima AntlersKashima Antlers19131529151440
2Kyoto Sanga2010463022834
3Urawa Red DiamondsUrawa219752620634
4Kashiwa ReysolReysol199732217534
5Sanfrecce HiroshimaHiroshima1810262014632
6Vissel KobeVissel Kobe189362319430
7Kawasaki FrontaleKawasaki1878330191129
8Cerezo OsakaCerezo208573026429
9Shimizu S-PulseShimizu S-Pulse197482626025
10Machida Zelvia197482223-125
11Fagiano OkayamaOkayama196671617-124
12Gamba OsakaGamba Osaka197392327-424
13Tokyo Verdy196671318-524
14Nagoya GrampusNagoya Grampus196582426-223
15Avispa Fukuoka196581519-423
16Shonan BellmareShonan Bellmare196491423-922
17Yokohama FCYokohama FC1954101320-719
18FC Tokyo185491726-919
19Albirex Niigata183781927-816
20Yokohama F MarinosYokohama1835101826-814
> J1 League Full Table


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