J1 League | Gameweek 15
May 6, 2025 at 6am UK
NOEVIR Stadium Kobe

Vissel Kobe
1 - 3
Cerezo

Miyashiro (45', 45')
FT(HT: 2-2)
Uejo (45+2', 45+2'), Shibayama (83', 83'), Ratao (90+6', 90+6')
Funaki (28'), Funaki (28'), Okuda (56'), Okuda (56'), Fukui (89'), Fukui (89'), Ratao (90+6'), Ratao (90+6')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Vissel Kobe and Cerezo Osaka.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Vissel Kobe 2-0 Okayama
Saturday, May 3 at 7am in J1 League
Last Game: Kyoto Sanga 2-3 Cerezo
Saturday, May 3 at 11am in J1 League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vissel Kobe win with a probability of 48.44%. A win for Cerezo Osaka had a probability of 26.66% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vissel Kobe win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.44%) and 2-0 (8.44%). The likeliest Cerezo Osaka win was 0-1 (7.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.

Result
Vissel KobeDrawCerezo Osaka
48.44% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)24.9%26.66% (0.023 0.02)
Both teams to score 53.65% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.97% (0.022000000000006 0.02)49.04% (-0.017000000000003 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.89% (0.021000000000001 0.02)71.12% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Vissel Kobe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.73% (0.0030000000000001 0)20.28% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.37% (0.0010000000000048 0)52.63% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Cerezo Osaka Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.29% (0.031000000000006 0.03)32.71% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.74% (0.032999999999998 0.03)69.26% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Vissel Kobe 48.44%
    Cerezo Osaka 26.66%
    Draw 24.89%
Vissel KobeDrawCerezo Osaka
1-0 @ 10.58% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.44% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 8.44% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-1 @ 5.02%
3-0 @ 4.49% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
3-2 @ 2.81% (0.0020000000000002 0)
4-1 @ 2%
4-0 @ 1.79% (-0.002 -0)
4-2 @ 1.12% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 48.44%
1-1 @ 11.82%
0-0 @ 6.63% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
2-2 @ 5.27% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-3 @ 1.05% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 24.89%
0-1 @ 7.41%
1-2 @ 6.61% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-2 @ 4.14% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 2.46% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 1.96% (0.002 0)
0-3 @ 1.54% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 26.66%

Head to Head
Sep 13, 2024 11am
Gameweek 30
Vissel Kobe
2-1
Cerezo
Thuler (2'), Hirose (11')
Ohgihara (41')
Ceara (51')
May 11, 2024 8am
Gameweek 13
Cerezo
1-4
Vissel Kobe
Ceara (57')
Kagawa (45+5')
Yamaguchi (38'), Honda (44'), Osako (49'), Miyashiro (90+3')
Ohgihara (3')
Sep 23, 2023 11am
Gameweek 28
Vissel Kobe
1-0
Cerezo
Sasaki (59')
Ide (33'), Sakai (43')

Shibayama (77'), Toriumi (86'), Shindo (90+3')
Jun 10, 2023 11am
Gameweek 17
Cerezo
2-1
Vissel Kobe
Croux (50'), Kitano (90+3')
Kagawa (73')
Yamaguchi (51')
Sakai (28'), Thuler (71'), Patric (90+5')
Aug 6, 2022 11am
Gameweek 24
Cerezo
3-0
Vissel Kobe
Taggart (22'), Suzuki (31'), Kato (87')

Yamakawa (68')