Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vissel Kobe win with a probability of 47.05%. A win for Tokyo Verdy had a probability of 26.51% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vissel Kobe win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.07%) and 0-2 (8.91%). The likeliest Tokyo Verdy win was 1-0 (8.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.51%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Vissel Kobe in this match.