MX23RW : Thursday, May 22 11:09:10| >> :300:86500:86500:
AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Willem II
Heracles Almelo
Eredivisie | Gameweek 34
May 18, 2025 at 1.30pm UK
Erve Asito
NEC

Heracles
1 - 2
Nijmegen

FT(HT: 0-0)
Hansen (55'), Onal (63')
Ouaissa (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between Heracles and NEC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: PSV 4-1 Heracles
Wednesday, May 14 at 7pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Nijmegen 3-0 NAC Breda
Wednesday, May 14 at 7pm in Eredivisie

We said: Heracles 1-3 NEC

Despite the hosts still being within touching distance of their visitors with a chance to leapfrog them on the final day, we back NEC to seal a top-eight spot with an away win on Sunday on the back of consecutive 3-0 triumphs. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NEC win with a probability of 47.6%. A win for Heracles had a probability of 28.39% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a NEC win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9%) and 0-2 (7.57%). The likeliest Heracles win was 2-1 (6.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for NEC in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for NEC.

Result
HeraclesDrawNEC
28.39% (-0.050999999999998 -0.05) 24.01% (0.132 0.13) 47.6% (-0.080000000000005 -0.08)
Both teams to score 57.98% (-0.493 -0.49)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.04% (-0.634 -0.63)43.96% (0.633 0.63)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.66% (-0.621 -0.62)66.34% (0.62100000000001 0.62)
Heracles Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.24% (-0.361 -0.36)28.76% (0.361 0.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.4% (-0.453 -0.45)64.6% (0.452 0.45)
NEC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.39% (-0.279 -0.28)18.61% (0.277 0.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.1% (-0.469 -0.47)49.9% (0.47 0.47)
Score Analysis
    Heracles 28.39%
    NEC 47.6%
    Draw 24%
HeraclesDrawNEC
2-1 @ 6.99% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-0 @ 6.67% (0.116 0.12)
2-0 @ 4.16% (0.031 0.03)
3-1 @ 2.9% (-0.034 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.44% (-0.05 -0.05)
3-0 @ 1.73% (-0.004 -0)
4-1 @ 0.91% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 28.39%
1-1 @ 11.21% (0.1 0.1)
2-2 @ 5.88% (-0.061 -0.06)
0-0 @ 5.35% (0.146 0.15)
3-3 @ 1.37% (-0.041 -0.04)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24%
1-2 @ 9.43% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
0-1 @ 9% (0.167 0.17)
0-2 @ 7.57% (0.075 0.08)
1-3 @ 5.29% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
0-3 @ 4.24% (0.0039999999999996 0)
2-3 @ 3.29% (-0.064 -0.06)
1-4 @ 2.22% (-0.04 -0.04)
0-4 @ 1.78% (-0.014 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.38% (-0.04 -0.04)
Other @ 3.4%
Total : 47.6%

How you voted: Heracles vs Nijmegen

Heracles
27.6%
Draw
6.9%
NEC
65.5%
29
Head to Head
Dec 18, 2024 7pm
Second Round
Heracles
1-0
Nijmegen
Scheperman (117')
Scheperman (64'), Roosken (84'), van Oorschot (120')

Sano (47'), Marquez (55'), Pereira (61'), van Crooij (70')
Sep 21, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 6
Nijmegen
1-2
Heracles
Ogawa (45')
Nuytinck (25'), Marquez (59'), Proper (90+3')
Engels (3'), Kulenovic (13')
Mesik (12'), Roosken (34'), van Kaam (61'), Engels (84')
Feb 3, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 20
Nijmegen
3-1
Heracles
Ogawa (51' pen., 59'), Chery (66')
Meijer (0'), Sow (48')
Hornkamp (3')
Sonnenberg (50')
Aug 18, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 2
Heracles
2-1
Nijmegen
Hansson (61'), Ouahim (74')
Bruns (32'), Engels (90+6')
Ogawa (24')
Baas (28'), Marques (90+6')
Jan 15, 2022 5.45pm
Gameweek 17
Nijmegen
0-0
Heracles
Tavsan (45+1')
Quagliata (81'), Knoester (85')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CPSV EindhovenPSV342545103396479
2Ajax34246467323578
3Feyenoord34208676383868
4FC UtrechtUtrecht341810662451764
5AZ AlkmaarAZ34169958372157
6FC Twente341591062491354
7Go Ahead Eagles34149115755251
8NECNijmegen34127155146543
9Heerenveen34127154257-1543
10PEC Zwolle341011134351-841
11Fortuna SittardSittard34118153754-1741
12Sparta RotterdamSparta34912133943-439
13Groningen34109154053-1339
14Heracles34911144263-2138
15NAC BredaNAC Breda3489173458-2433
16Willem II3468203456-2226
RRKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk3467214474-3025
RAlmere CityAlmere City34410202364-4122


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