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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NEC win with a probability of 47.6%. A win for Heracles had a probability of 28.39% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a NEC win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9%) and 0-2 (7.57%). The likeliest Heracles win was 2-1 (6.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for NEC in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for NEC.
Result | ||
Heracles | Draw | NEC |
28.39% (![]() | 24.01% (![]() | 47.6% (![]() |
Both teams to score 57.98% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.04% (![]() | 43.96% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.66% (![]() | 66.34% (![]() |
Heracles Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.24% (![]() | 28.76% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.4% (![]() | 64.6% (![]() |
NEC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.39% (![]() | 18.61% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.1% (![]() | 49.9% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Heracles | Draw | NEC |
2-1 @ 6.99% (![]() 1-0 @ 6.67% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 4.16% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 2.9% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.44% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 1.73% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 0.91% ( ![]() Other @ 2.6% Total : 28.39% | 1-1 @ 11.21% (![]() 2-2 @ 5.88% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 5.35% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.37% ( ![]() Other @ 0.2% Total : 24% | 1-2 @ 9.43% (![]() 0-1 @ 9% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 7.57% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 5.29% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 4.24% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 3.29% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 2.22% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 1.78% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.38% ( ![]() Other @ 3.4% Total : 47.6% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | PSV EindhovenPSV | 34 | 25 | 4 | 5 | 103 | 39 | 64 | 79 |
2 | Ajax | 34 | 24 | 6 | 4 | 67 | 32 | 35 | 78 |
3 | Feyenoord | 34 | 20 | 8 | 6 | 76 | 38 | 38 | 68 |
4 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 34 | 18 | 10 | 6 | 62 | 45 | 17 | 64 |
5 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 58 | 37 | 21 | 57 |
6 | FC Twente | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 62 | 49 | 13 | 54 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 57 | 55 | 2 | 51 |
8 | NECNijmegen | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 51 | 46 | 5 | 43 |
9 | Heerenveen | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 42 | 57 | -15 | 43 |
10 | PEC Zwolle | 34 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 43 | 51 | -8 | 41 |
11 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 37 | 54 | -17 | 41 |
12 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 34 | 9 | 12 | 13 | 39 | 43 | -4 | 39 |
13 | Groningen | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 40 | 53 | -13 | 39 |
14 | Heracles | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 42 | 63 | -21 | 38 |
15 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 34 | 8 | 9 | 17 | 34 | 58 | -24 | 33 |
16 | Willem II | 34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 34 | 56 | -22 | 26 |
R | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 34 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 44 | 74 | -30 | 25 |
R | Almere CityAlmere City | 34 | 4 | 10 | 20 | 23 | 64 | -41 | 22 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |