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Scottish Premiership Playoffs | Play-offs - Final | 1st Leg
May 22, 2025 at 8pm UK
Tony Macaroni Arena
Ross County

Livingston
vs.
Ross County

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Scottish Premiership Playoffs clash between Livingston and Ross County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Livingston 2-0 Partick
Friday, May 16 at 7.45pm in Scottish Premiership Playoffs
Last Game: Ross County 1-1 Motherwell
Sunday, May 18 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

We say: Livingston 1-0 Ross County

Ross County may have plenty of recent playoff experience, but the hosts have been formidable at home in this fixture and in the league this season, leading us to expect a home win. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Livingston win with a probability of 57.49%. A draw has a probability of 24% and a win for Ross County has a probability of 18.49%.

The most likely scoreline for a Livingston win is 1-0 with a probability of 13.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (11.38%) and 2-1 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.32%), while for a Ross County win it is 0-1 (6.71%).

Result
LivingstonDrawRoss County
57.49%24.02%18.49%
Both teams to score 46.25%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.25%53.75%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.77%75.23%
Livingston Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.48%18.52%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.25%49.75%
Ross County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.76%43.24%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.51%79.49%
Score Analysis
    Livingston 57.49%
    Ross County 18.49%
    Draw 24.02%
LivingstonDrawRoss County
1-0 @ 13.5%
2-0 @ 11.38%
2-1 @ 9.55%
3-0 @ 6.4%
3-1 @ 5.37%
4-0 @ 2.7%
4-1 @ 2.26%
3-2 @ 2.25%
4-2 @ 0.95%
5-0 @ 0.91%
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 57.49%
1-1 @ 11.32%
0-0 @ 8.01%
2-2 @ 4%
Other @ 0.69%
Total : 24.02%
0-1 @ 6.71%
1-2 @ 4.75%
0-2 @ 2.82%
1-3 @ 1.33%
2-3 @ 1.12%
Other @ 1.76%
Total : 18.49%

Who will win Thursday's Scottish Premiership Playoffs clash between Winner SF1 and 11th ranked upper div.?

Winner Semi-final 1
Draw
11th ranked upper div.
Winner Semi-final 1
0.0%
Draw
0.0%
11th ranked upper div.
100%
2
Head to Head
Jan 18, 2025 3pm
Fourth Round
Ross County
2-2
Livingston
(Aggregate 2-2 | Ross County win 0-0 on penalties)
White (55'), Hale (73')
White (65'), Lopata (68'), Kenneh (90+1'), Ashworth (118')
Muirhead (45+1' pen.), Montano (61'), Shinnie (120')
May (82'), Montano (90+1'), Muirhead (90'), Ubochioma (109'), McAlear (110'), Brandon (112')
Apr 27, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 34
Livingston
2-0
Ross County
Anderson (12'), Kelly (53' pen.)
Carson (90+4')

(90+9')
Feb 24, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 27
Ross County
3-2
Livingston
Brophy (21', 27'), Sims (90+2')
Sheaf (75'), Murray (89')
Anderson (47', 86')
Nottingham (66'), Yengi (90+9')
Jan 30, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 15
Livingston
2-2
Ross County
Pittman (45'), MacKay (88')
Penrice (24')
Murray (28', 85')
Nightingale (69'), Murray (87')
Sep 16, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 5
Ross County
1-1
Livingston
Murray (59')
Anderson (72')
Brandon (45'), Devlin (51'), Obileye (61')
rhs 2.0
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