Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Mirren win with a probability of 54.35%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Ross County had a probability of 22.18%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Mirren win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.8%) and 2-0 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.13%), while for a Ross County win it was 0-1 (6.32%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that St Mirren would win this match.
| Result | ||
| St Mirren | Draw | Ross County |
| 54.35% ( | 23.46% ( | 22.18% ( |
| Both teams to score 53.42% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.96% ( | 47.03% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.72% ( | 69.27% ( |
| St Mirren Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.8% ( | 17.2% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.52% ( | 47.48% ( |
| Ross County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.51% ( | 35.48% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.75% ( | 72.25% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| St Mirren | Draw | Ross County |
| 1-0 @ 10.74% ( 2-1 @ 9.8% ( 2-0 @ 9.46% ( 3-1 @ 5.75% ( 3-0 @ 5.55% ( 3-2 @ 2.98% ( 4-1 @ 2.53% ( 4-0 @ 2.44% ( 4-2 @ 1.31% ( Other @ 3.8% Total : 54.35% | 1-1 @ 11.13% ( 0-0 @ 6.1% ( 2-2 @ 5.08% 3-3 @ 1.03% Other @ 0.13% Total : 23.46% | 0-1 @ 6.32% ( 1-2 @ 5.77% ( 0-2 @ 3.28% ( 1-3 @ 1.99% ( 2-3 @ 1.75% ( 0-3 @ 1.13% ( Other @ 1.94% Total : 22.18% |