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Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 30
Mar 15, 2025 at 3pm UK
Tynecastle Park
Ross County

Hearts
2 - 0
Ross County

Kabangu (26'), Grant (89')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Lopata (21'), Lopata (21'), Randall (74')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Scottish Premiership clash between Hearts and Ross County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Hearts 3-1 Dundee
Friday, March 7 at 7.45pm in Scottish Cup
Last Game: Ross County 1-0 Kilmarnock
Saturday, March 1 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 62.27%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Ross County had a probability of 17.36%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.86%) and 1-0 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.51%), while for a Ross County win it was 1-2 (4.79%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Hearts would win this match.

Result
HeartsDrawRoss County
62.27% (0.082000000000001 0.08)20.37% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)17.36% (-0.067 -0.07)
Both teams to score 55.64% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.84% (-0.035999999999994 -0.04)40.16% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.47% (-0.035999999999994 -0.04)62.53% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
Hearts Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.63% (0.010999999999996 0.01)12.36% (-0.013 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.79% (0.024999999999999 0.02)38.21% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)
Ross County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.49% (-0.098000000000006 -0.1)36.51% (0.096000000000004 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.7% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1)73.3% (0.096000000000004 0.1)
Score Analysis
    Hearts 62.27%
    Ross County 17.36%
    Draw 20.37%
HeartsDrawRoss County
2-1 @ 9.94% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
2-0 @ 9.86% (0.025 0.03)
1-0 @ 9.44% (0.02 0.02)
3-1 @ 6.93% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-0 @ 6.87% (0.021 0.02)
4-1 @ 3.62% (0.004 0)
4-0 @ 3.59% (0.013 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.49% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.82% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
5-1 @ 1.51% (0.002 0)
5-0 @ 1.5% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 3.7%
Total : 62.27%
1-1 @ 9.51% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.01% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-0 @ 4.51% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.17% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 20.37%
1-2 @ 4.79% (-0.015 -0.01)
0-1 @ 4.55% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-2 @ 2.29% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.68% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.61% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 17.36%

How you voted: Hearts vs Ross County

Hearts
95.2%
Draw
4.8%
Ross County
0.0%
21
Head to Head
Dec 29, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 20
Ross County
2-2
Hearts
Nisbet (90+7'), White (90+9')
Wilson (2', 48')
Sep 28, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 6
Hearts
1-1
Ross County
Shankland (90+6')
Vargas (13')
Hale (35')
Campbell (11'), Hale (42'), Randall (56'), Leak (59')
Mar 16, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 30
Ross County
2-1
Hearts
Murray (42', 49')
Dhanda (55'), Loturi (80')
Oda (90+1')
Shankland (63')
Dec 30, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 21
Hearts
2-2
Ross County
Vargas (71'), Shankland (79')
Atkinson (41'), Forrest (51')
Cochrane (55' og.), Dhanda (61')
Sims (81'), Leak (90+7')
Sep 30, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 7
Ross County
0-1
Hearts

Randall (18'), Turner (29'), Allardice (90+5')
Forrest (69')
Offiah (32'), Halliday (90+1')
rhs 2.0
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
Championship Group
CCeltic5320112268692
2RangersRangers523080413975
3Hibernian512262501258
4Dundee UnitedDundee Utd51044554-953
5Aberdeen51044861-1353
6St Mirren52305359-650
Relegation Group
1Hearts54015247552
2Motherwell53114663-1749
3Kilmarnock53024564-1944
4Dundee52125777-2041
5Ross County50233765-2837
RSt Johnstone51043868-3032
 
First Phase
CCeltic33263497227581
2RangersRangers33206768353366
3Hibernian331411854411353
4Dundee UnitedDundee Utd33148114140150
5Aberdeen33148114549-450
6St Mirren33125164554-941
7Hearts33117154344-140
8Motherwell33116163756-1939
9Kilmarnock3398163858-2035
10Ross County3398163356-2335
11Dundee3397175071-2134
RSt Johnstone3385203358-2529


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