Scottish Premiership

Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 28

Feb 26, 2025 at 7.45pm UK

Tynecastle Park

Hearts
3 - 1
St Mirren

Wilson (56'), Nieuwenhof (63'), Vargas (90+5')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Mandron (37')
Boyd-Munce (52'), Mandron (67'), Phillips (74'), O'Hara (80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Scottish Premiership clash between Hearts and St Mirren, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Hearts

All competitions

Scottish Premiership

Last Game: St Johnstone 1-2 Hearts
Sunday, February 23 at 12pm in Scottish Premiership

Goals
for

St Mirren

All competitions

Scottish Premiership

Last Game: Rangers 0-2 St Mirren
Saturday, February 22 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 51.53%. A win for St Mirren had a probability of 24.49% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.67%) and 2-0 (8.81%). The likeliest St Mirren win was 0-1 (6.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.35%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Hearts would win this match.

Result
Hearts	Draw	St Mirren
51.53% ( 0.62)	23.98% ( -0.04)	24.49% ( -0.58)

Both teams to score 54.53% (

-0.49)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.11% (

-0.35)

46.88% (

0.35)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.86% (

-0.33)

69.13% (

0.33)

Hearts Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.8% (

0.1)

18.19% (

-0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.8% (

0.18)

49.2% (

-0.18)

St Mirren Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.66% (

-0.68)

33.33% (

0.68)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.04% (

-0.75)

69.96% (

0.75)

Score Analysis

Hearts 51.53%

St Mirren 24.49%

Draw 23.97%

Hearts	Draw	St Mirren
1-0 @ 10.33% ( 0.19) 2-1 @ 9.67% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 8.81% ( 0.19) 3-1 @ 5.5% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 5% ( 0.12) 3-2 @ 3.02% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 2.34% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 2.13% ( 0.06) 4-2 @ 1.29% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.44% Total : 51.53%	1-1 @ 11.35% 0-0 @ 6.07% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 5.31% ( -0.08) 3-3 @ 1.11% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.14% Total : 23.97%	0-1 @ 6.66% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 6.24% ( -0.12) 0-2 @ 3.66% ( -0.08) 1-3 @ 2.28% ( -0.09) 2-3 @ 1.95% ( -0.07) 0-3 @ 1.34% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.36% Total : 24.49%