MX23RW : Thursday, April 24 18:34:47| >> :300:86500:86500:
Aberdeen logo
Celtic logo
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Dundee United
Hearts logo
Hibs logo
Kilmarnock logo
Motherwell logo
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Ross County
St Johnstone logo
St Mirren logo
Hearts logo
Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 28
Feb 26, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
Tynecastle Park
St Mirren logo

Hearts
3 - 1
St Mirren

Wilson (56'), Nieuwenhof (63'), Vargas (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Mandron (37')
Boyd-Munce (52'), Mandron (67'), Phillips (74'), O'Hara (80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Scottish Premiership clash between Hearts and St Mirren, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: St Johnstone 1-2 Hearts
Sunday, February 23 at 12pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Rangers 0-2 St Mirren
Saturday, February 22 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

We said: Hearts 2-1 St Mirren

Both Hearts and St Mirren will be boosted by recent victories, but given the hosts have dominated this fixture in recent history, we expect the Jambos to win here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 51.53%. A win for St Mirren had a probability of 24.49% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.67%) and 2-0 (8.81%). The likeliest St Mirren win was 0-1 (6.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.35%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Hearts would win this match.

Result
HeartsDrawSt Mirren
51.53% (0.621 0.62) 23.98% (-0.038999999999998 -0.04) 24.49% (-0.584 -0.58)
Both teams to score 54.53% (-0.48500000000001 -0.49)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.11% (-0.35400000000001 -0.35)46.88% (0.351 0.35)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.86% (-0.329 -0.33)69.13% (0.327 0.33)
Hearts Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.8% (0.104 0.1)18.19% (-0.105 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.8% (0.178 0.18)49.2% (-0.178 -0.18)
St Mirren Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.66% (-0.679 -0.68)33.33% (0.678 0.68)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.04% (-0.754 -0.75)69.96% (0.753 0.75)
Score Analysis
    Hearts 51.53%
    St Mirren 24.49%
    Draw 23.97%
HeartsDrawSt Mirren
1-0 @ 10.33% (0.19 0.19)
2-1 @ 9.67% (0.029 0.03)
2-0 @ 8.81% (0.188 0.19)
3-1 @ 5.5% (0.035 0.04)
3-0 @ 5% (0.123 0.12)
3-2 @ 3.02% (-0.037 -0.04)
4-1 @ 2.34% (0.023 0.02)
4-0 @ 2.13% (0.06 0.06)
4-2 @ 1.29% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 3.44%
Total : 51.53%
1-1 @ 11.35%
0-0 @ 6.07% (0.089 0.09)
2-2 @ 5.31% (-0.083 -0.08)
3-3 @ 1.11% (-0.035 -0.03)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 23.97%
0-1 @ 6.66% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
1-2 @ 6.24% (-0.12 -0.12)
0-2 @ 3.66% (-0.082 -0.08)
1-3 @ 2.28% (-0.087 -0.09)
2-3 @ 1.95% (-0.067 -0.07)
0-3 @ 1.34% (-0.056 -0.06)
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 24.49%

How you voted: Hearts vs St Mirren

Hearts
86.2%
Draw
6.9%
St Mirren
6.9%
29
Head to Head
Feb 10, 2025 7.45pm
Fifth Round
St Mirren
1-1
Hearts
(Aggregate 1-1 | Hearts win 4-2 on penalties)
Mandron (22')
Gogic (90+10'), Smyth (120+1'), Fraser (127')
Oct 19, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 8
Hearts
4-0
St Mirren
Vargas (15'), Oyegoke (47'), Wilson (86'), Spittal (90+3')

Dunne (23'), Olusanya (53'), Kiltie (84'), Bwomono (90+5'), Adeniran (90+5')
Sep 21, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 15
St Mirren
2-1
Hearts
Taylor (8' og.), Olusanya (34')
Olusanya (13'), Brown (40'), Boyd-Munce (65')
Halkett (18')
Kingsley (33'), Grant (44'), Shankland (85'), Baningime (85')
May 15, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 37
St Mirren
2-2
Hearts
Scott (7'), Bolton (65')
Tagawa (20'), Shankland (73')
Apr 6, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 32
St Mirren
1-2
Hearts
Olusanya (68')
Tanser (82')
Grant (33' pen.), Mandron (62' og.)
Tait (45+3'), Sibbick (62')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
Championship Group
1Celtic000097227581
2RangersRangers000068353366
3Hibernian000054411353
4Dundee UnitedDundee Utd00004140150
5Aberdeen00004549-450
6St Mirren00004554-941
Relegation Group
1Hearts00004344-140
2Motherwell00003756-1939
3Kilmarnock00003858-2035
4Ross County00003356-2335
5Dundee00005071-2134
6St Johnstone00003358-2529
 
First Phase
1Celtic33263497227581
2RangersRangers33206768353366
3Hibernian331411854411353
4Dundee UnitedDundee Utd33148114140150
5Aberdeen33148114549-450
6St Mirren33125164554-941
7Hearts33117154344-140
8Motherwell33116163756-1939
9Kilmarnock3398163858-2035
10Ross County3398163356-2335
11Dundee3397175071-2134
12St Johnstone3385203358-2529


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