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Potential new football header

Scottish Premiership

Dundee logo
Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 25
Feb 1, 2025 at 3pm UK
Kilmac Stadium at Dens Park
Hearts logo

Dundee
0 - 6
Hearts


Samuels (38')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Shankland (15'), Spittal (17'), Kabangu (51', 77'), Drammeh (67'), Vargas (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Scottish Premiership clash between Dundee and Hearts, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Dundee

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Dundee 1-0 Dundee Utd
Monday, January 20 at 8pm in Scottish Cup

Hearts

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Hearts 3-2 Kilmarnock
Saturday, January 25 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 51.12%. A win for Dundee had a probability of 25.78% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.78%) and 0-2 (7.92%). The likeliest Dundee win was 2-1 (6.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.69%). The actual scoreline of 0-6 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Hearts would win this match.

Result
DundeeDrawHearts
25.78% (0.042999999999999 0.04)23.1% (0.013000000000002 0.01)51.12% (-0.059000000000005 -0.06)
Both teams to score 58.84% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.19% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)41.81% (0.023000000000003 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.79% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)64.21% (0.022999999999996 0.02)
Dundee Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.43% (0.018999999999991 0.02)29.57% (-0.020999999999997 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.4% (0.026000000000003 0.03)65.6% (-0.028000000000006 -0.03)
Hearts Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.54% (-0.031000000000006 -0.03)16.46% (0.029 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.85% (-0.055 -0.05)46.15% (0.053000000000004 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Dundee 25.78%
    Hearts 51.12%
    Draw 23.09%
DundeeDrawHearts
2-1 @ 6.52% (0.008 0.01)
1-0 @ 5.93% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
2-0 @ 3.61% (0.008 0.01)
3-1 @ 2.65% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-2 @ 2.39% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-0 @ 1.47% (0.004 0)
Other @ 3.22%
Total : 25.78%
1-1 @ 10.69%
2-2 @ 5.88% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-0 @ 4.87% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-3 @ 1.44%
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 23.09%
1-2 @ 9.65% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-1 @ 8.78% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-2 @ 7.92% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
1-3 @ 5.81% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-3 @ 4.77% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
2-3 @ 3.54% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-4 @ 2.62% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
0-4 @ 2.15% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.6% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
1-5 @ 0.95% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 3.35%
Total : 51.12%

How you voted: Dundee vs Hearts

Dundee
38.9%
Draw
16.7%
Hearts
44.4%
18
Head to Head
Dec 7, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 16
Hearts
2-0
Dundee
Shankland (21', 31')
Shankland (62'), Penrice (89')

Mulligan (84'), Murray (86'), Ingram (90+1')
> Preview
Aug 10, 2024 5.30pm
Gameweek 2
Dundee
3-1
Hearts
Tiffoney (23'), Taylor (45+2' og.), McCowan (45+5' pen.)
Docherty (27'), Tiffoney (28'), Portales (43'), Larkeche (55')
Kent (61')
Rowles (26'), Taylor (42'), Penrice (90+3'), Shankland (90+3')
> Preview
May 11, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 36
Hearts
3-0
Dundee
Vargas (35'), Forrest (53'), Shankland (90')

Bakayoko (45+3'), McCowan (57'), Donnelly (76')
> Preview
Feb 3, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 24
Dundee
2-3
Hearts
McGhee (26'), Cameron (59')
Bakayoko (33'), Boateng (43'), McCowan (80')
Forrest (55'), Shankland (79' pen., 87')
Naismith (34'), Cochrane (84')
> Preview
Jan 23, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 12
Hearts
3-2
Dundee
Nieuwenhof (57'), Lembikisa (74'), Oda (86')
Lembikisa (49')
McGhee (19'), Cameron (38')
McGhee (41'), Costelloe (45+4'), Bakayoko (60'), Dodgson (65'), Main (77'), Ashcroft (79')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
Championship Group
CCeltic5320112268692
2RangersRangers523080413975
3Hibernian512262501258
4Dundee UnitedDundee Utd51044554-953
5Aberdeen51044861-1353
6St Mirren52305359-650
Relegation Group
1Hearts54015247552
2Motherwell53114663-1749
3Kilmarnock53024564-1944
4Dundee52125777-2041
5Ross County50233765-2837
RSt Johnstone51043868-3032
 
First Phase
CCeltic33263497227581
2RangersRangers33206768353366
3Hibernian331411854411353
4Dundee UnitedDundee Utd33148114140150
5Aberdeen33148114549-450
6St Mirren33125164554-941
7Hearts33117154344-140
8Motherwell33116163756-1939
9Kilmarnock3398163858-2035
10Ross County3398163356-2335
11Dundee3397175071-2134
RSt Johnstone3385203358-2529
> Scottish Premiership Full Table


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