Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 51.12%. A win for Dundee had a probability of 25.78% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.78%) and 0-2 (7.92%). The likeliest Dundee win was 2-1 (6.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.69%). The actual scoreline of 0-6 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Hearts would win this match.