We said: Hearts 1-2 Motherwell
After seemingly recovering from a woeful start, Hearts have slipped back into a rut, with bottom-of-the-table St Johnstone the only team they have managed to beat in six games.
Motherwell will be keen to show what they can do against similar-level opponents after giving Rangers a very tough afternoon at the weekend, and with the form of Stamatelopoulos, goals are almost assured against a leaky Hearts defence.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 57.61%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Motherwell had a probability of 20.26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.93%) and 2-0 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.42%), while for a Motherwell win it was 0-1 (5.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Hearts in this match.