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Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 21
Jan 2, 2025 at 3pm UK
Tynecastle Park
Motherwell logo

Hearts
1 - 0
Motherwell

Drammeh (7')
Forrester (66'), Devlin (67'), Grant (83')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Casey (65')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Scottish Premiership clash between Hearts and Motherwell, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Ross County 2-2 Hearts
Sunday, December 29 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Motherwell 2-2 Rangers
Sunday, December 29 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

We said: Hearts 1-2 Motherwell

After seemingly recovering from a woeful start, Hearts have slipped back into a rut, with bottom-of-the-table St Johnstone the only team they have managed to beat in six games. Motherwell will be keen to show what they can do against similar-level opponents after giving Rangers a very tough afternoon at the weekend, and with the form of Stamatelopoulos, goals are almost assured against a leaky Hearts defence. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 57.61%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Motherwell had a probability of 20.26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.93%) and 2-0 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.42%), while for a Motherwell win it was 0-1 (5.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Hearts in this match.

Result
HeartsDrawMotherwell
57.61% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09) 22.13% (0.030000000000001 0.03) 20.26% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
Both teams to score 54.96% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.38% (-0.069000000000003 -0.07)43.62% (0.064999999999998 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.99% (-0.067 -0.07)66.01% (0.063000000000002 0.06)
Hearts Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.11% (-0.052999999999997 -0.05)14.88% (0.048 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.76% (-0.094999999999999 -0.09)43.24% (0.091000000000001 0.09)
Motherwell Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.57% (0.013999999999996 0.01)35.43% (-0.017000000000003 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.8% (0.012999999999998 0.01)72.19% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Hearts 57.61%
    Motherwell 20.26%
    Draw 22.13%
HeartsDrawMotherwell
1-0 @ 10.04% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.93% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-0 @ 9.57% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
3-1 @ 6.3% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-0 @ 6.08% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.27% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-1 @ 3% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.89% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.56% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.14% (-0.006 -0.01)
5-0 @ 1.1% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 57.61%
1-1 @ 10.42% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 5.27% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.15% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-3 @ 1.13% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 22.13%
0-1 @ 5.47% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
1-2 @ 5.41% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-2 @ 2.84% (0.011 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.87% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 1.78% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 0.98% (0.004 0)
Other @ 1.91%
Total : 20.26%

How you voted: Hearts vs Motherwell

Hearts
45.8%
Draw
10.4%
Motherwell
43.8%
48
Head to Head
Aug 25, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 3
Motherwell
3-1
Hearts
McGinn (24'), O'Donnell (60'), Sparrow (81')
Halliday (42')
Oda (65')
Kent (45+1'), Devlin (58'), Salazar (62'), Kingsley (76')
Feb 17, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 26
Hearts
2-0
Motherwell
Shankland (67'), Vargas (90+2')
Shankland (23')

Kettlewell (24'), Zdravkovski (69'), Nicholson (88')
Nov 11, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 13
Motherwell
1-2
Hearts
Spittal (78' pen.)
Paton (40'), Slattery (62'), Butcher (79'), Gent (89')
Shankland (27', 71')
Sibbick (86'), Baningime (89')
Sep 3, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 4
Hearts
0-1
Motherwell

Devlin (71')
Slattery (29')
McGinn (36'), Casey (71'), Shaw (90')
McGinn (69')
Feb 19, 2023 12pm
Gameweek 26
Motherwell
2-0
Hearts
Obika (40'), Spittal (46')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
Championship Group
1Celtic2110103238085
2RangersRangers202071383368
3Hibernian210157431456
4Aberdeen21014650-453
5Dundee UnitedDundee Utd20024248-650
6St Mirren21104856-845
Relegation Group
1Motherwell22004259-1745
2Hearts21014646043
3Kilmarnock22004258-1641
4Dundee21015273-2137
5Ross County20023461-2735
6St Johnstone20023563-2829
 
First Phase
1Celtic33263497227581
2RangersRangers33206768353366
3Hibernian331411854411353
4Dundee UnitedDundee Utd33148114140150
5Aberdeen33148114549-450
6St Mirren33125164554-941
7Hearts33117154344-140
8Motherwell33116163756-1939
9Kilmarnock3398163858-2035
10Ross County3398163356-2335
11Dundee3397175071-2134
12St Johnstone3385203358-2529


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