Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundee United win with a probability of 39.03%. A win for Motherwell had a probability of 35.11% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dundee United win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.51%) and 0-2 (6.54%). The likeliest Motherwell win was 1-0 (8.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.27%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Motherwell | Draw | Dundee United |
| 35.11% ( | 25.86% ( | 39.03% ( |
| Both teams to score 54.59% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.34% ( | 49.66% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.32% ( | 71.68% ( |
| Motherwell Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.78% ( | 27.21% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.37% ( | 62.63% ( |
| Dundee United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75% ( | 25% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.34% ( | 59.65% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Motherwell | Draw | Dundee United |
| 1-0 @ 8.85% ( 2-1 @ 7.99% ( 2-0 @ 5.76% ( 3-1 @ 3.47% ( 3-0 @ 2.5% ( 3-2 @ 2.4% 4-1 @ 1.13% ( Other @ 3.01% Total : 35.11% | 1-1 @ 12.27% 0-0 @ 6.8% ( 2-2 @ 5.54% ( 3-3 @ 1.11% ( Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.85% | 0-1 @ 9.43% 1-2 @ 8.51% ( 0-2 @ 6.54% ( 1-3 @ 3.93% ( 0-3 @ 3.02% ( 2-3 @ 2.56% ( 1-4 @ 1.36% ( 0-4 @ 1.05% ( Other @ 2.63% Total : 39.03% |