Scottish Premiership

Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 18

Dec 20, 2024 at 7.45pm UK

Fir Park

Motherwell
1 - 1
Kilmarnock

Gordon (17')
Paton (56')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Polworth (74')
Watson (45'), Armstrong (78'), J (85'), Magennis (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Scottish Premiership clash between Motherwell and Kilmarnock, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Motherwell

All competitions

Last Game: Motherwell 4-3 Dundee Utd
Saturday, December 14 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

Goals
for

Kilmarnock

All competitions

Last Game: Kilmarnock 1-0 Hearts
Sunday, December 15 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Motherwell win with a probability of 46.26%. A win for Kilmarnock had a probability of 28.05% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Motherwell win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.2%) and 2-0 (8.26%). The likeliest Kilmarnock win was 0-1 (8.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.

Result
Motherwell	Draw	Kilmarnock
46.26% ( 0.71)	25.69% ( 0.23)	28.05% ( -0.95)

Both teams to score 52.24% (

-1.36)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.62% (

-1.48)

51.38% (

1.48)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.8% (

-1.31)

73.19% (

1.3)

Motherwell Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.81% (

-0.3)

22.19% (

0.3)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.4% (

-0.45)

55.6% (

0.45)

Kilmarnock Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.14% (

-1.49)

32.86% (

1.48)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.57% (

-1.69)

69.42% (

1.68)

Score Analysis

Motherwell 46.26%

Kilmarnock 28.05%

Draw 25.68%

Motherwell	Draw	Kilmarnock
1-0 @ 10.97% ( 0.54) 2-1 @ 9.2% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 8.26% ( 0.34) 3-1 @ 4.62% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 4.15% ( 0.13) 3-2 @ 2.57% ( -0.13) 4-1 @ 1.74% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 1.56% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 0.97% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.23% Total : 46.26%	1-1 @ 12.21% ( 0.12) 0-0 @ 7.29% ( 0.42) 2-2 @ 5.12% ( -0.21) 3-3 @ 0.95% ( -0.09) Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.68%	0-1 @ 8.12% ( 0.15) 1-2 @ 6.8% ( -0.21) 0-2 @ 4.52% ( -0.1) 1-3 @ 2.52% ( -0.19) 2-3 @ 1.9% ( -0.16) 0-3 @ 1.68% ( -0.11) Other @ 2.52% Total : 28.05%