Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Motherwell win with a probability of 46.37%. A win for Kilmarnock had a probability of 28.13% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Motherwell win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.23%) and 2-0 (8.19%). The likeliest Kilmarnock win was 0-1 (7.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.12%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Motherwell would win this match.
Result | ||
Motherwell | Draw | Kilmarnock |
46.37% (![]() | 25.5% (![]() | 28.13% (![]() |
Both teams to score 52.86% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.4% (![]() | 50.6% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.49% (![]() | 72.51% (![]() |
Motherwell Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.18% (![]() | 21.81% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.97% (![]() | 55.03% (![]() |
Kilmarnock Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.61% (![]() | 32.39% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.1% (![]() | 68.9% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Motherwell | Draw | Kilmarnock |
1-0 @ 10.75% (![]() 2-1 @ 9.23% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 8.19% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 4.69% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 4.16% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.64% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.78% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.58% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.01% ( ![]() Other @ 2.33% Total : 46.36% | 1-1 @ 12.12% (![]() 0-0 @ 7.07% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 5.21% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 0.99% ( ![]() Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.5% | 0-1 @ 7.97% (![]() 1-2 @ 6.84% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 4.49% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 2.57% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.96% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.69% ( ![]() Other @ 2.62% Total : 28.13% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Celtic | 33 | 30 | 2 | 1 | 103 | 25 | 78 | 92 |
2 | RangersRangers | 33 | 25 | 4 | 4 | 81 | 34 | 47 | 79 |
3 | Aberdeen | 33 | 17 | 2 | 14 | 52 | 52 | 0 | 53 |
4 | Hearts | 33 | 14 | 6 | 13 | 56 | 49 | 7 | 48 |
5 | Hibernian | 33 | 13 | 5 | 15 | 49 | 52 | -3 | 44 |
6 | St Mirren | 33 | 12 | 8 | 13 | 38 | 49 | -11 | 44 |
7 | Livingston | 33 | 12 | 6 | 15 | 33 | 52 | -19 | 42 |
8 | Motherwell | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 44 | 48 | -4 | 37 |
9 | St Johnstone | 33 | 9 | 6 | 18 | 34 | 54 | -20 | 33 |
10 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 33 | 8 | 7 | 18 | 36 | 58 | -22 | 31 |
11 | Kilmarnock | 33 | 8 | 7 | 18 | 29 | 58 | -29 | 31 |
12 | Ross County | 33 | 7 | 6 | 20 | 28 | 52 | -24 | 27 |
> Scottish Premiership Full Table |