

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Motherwell win with a probability of 46.37%. A win for Kilmarnock had a probability of 28.13% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Motherwell win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.23%) and 2-0 (8.19%). The likeliest Kilmarnock win was 0-1 (7.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.12%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Motherwell would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Motherwell | Draw | Kilmarnock |
| 46.37% ( | 25.5% ( | 28.13% ( |
| Both teams to score 52.86% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.4% ( | 50.6% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.49% ( | 72.51% ( |
| Motherwell Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.18% ( | 21.81% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 44.97% ( | 55.03% ( |
| Kilmarnock Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.61% ( | 32.39% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 31.1% ( | 68.9% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Motherwell | Draw | Kilmarnock |
| 1-0 @ 10.75% ( 2-1 @ 9.23% ( 2-0 @ 8.19% ( 3-1 @ 4.69% ( 3-0 @ 4.16% ( 3-2 @ 2.64% ( 4-1 @ 1.78% ( 4-0 @ 1.58% ( 4-2 @ 1.01% ( Other @ 2.33% Total : 46.36% | 1-1 @ 12.12% ( 0-0 @ 7.07% ( 2-2 @ 5.21% ( 3-3 @ 0.99% ( Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.5% | 0-1 @ 7.97% ( 1-2 @ 6.84% ( 0-2 @ 4.49% ( 1-3 @ 2.57% ( 2-3 @ 1.96% ( 0-3 @ 1.69% ( Other @ 2.62% Total : 28.13% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Celtic | 33 | 30 | 2 | 1 | 103 | 25 | 78 | 92 |
| 2 | RangersRangers | 33 | 25 | 4 | 4 | 81 | 34 | 47 | 79 |
| 3 | Aberdeen | 33 | 17 | 2 | 14 | 52 | 52 | 0 | 53 |
| 4 | Hearts | 33 | 14 | 6 | 13 | 56 | 49 | 7 | 48 |
| 5 | Hibernian | 33 | 13 | 5 | 15 | 49 | 52 | -3 | 44 |
| 6 | St Mirren | 33 | 12 | 8 | 13 | 38 | 49 | -11 | 44 |
| 7 | Livingston | 33 | 12 | 6 | 15 | 33 | 52 | -19 | 42 |
| 8 | Motherwell | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 44 | 48 | -4 | 37 |
| 9 | St Johnstone | 33 | 9 | 6 | 18 | 34 | 54 | -20 | 33 |
| 10 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 33 | 8 | 7 | 18 | 36 | 58 | -22 | 31 |
| 11 | Kilmarnock | 33 | 8 | 7 | 18 | 29 | 58 | -29 | 31 |
| 12 | Ross County | 33 | 7 | 6 | 20 | 28 | 52 | -24 | 27 |
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