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Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 5
Aug 27, 2022 at 3pm UK
Rugby Park
Motherwell logo
Kilmarnock
2 - 1
Motherwell
Armstrong (71'), Taylor (76')
Armstrong (83'), Power (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-1)
van Veen (14')
O'Donnell (19')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's Scottish Premiership clash between Kilmarnock and Motherwell, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Ross County 1-0 Kilmarnock
Saturday, August 20 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Motherwell 1-0 Livingston
Saturday, August 20 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

We said: Kilmarnock 1-2 Motherwell

The two sides head into this weekend's game in contrasting form, with Kilmarnock desperate to secure their first three points of the new season. The home crowd at Rugby Park are sure to spur McInnes's men on, but we feel that Motherwell will continue their strong start by claiming a slender away victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 47.51%. A draw had a probability of 26.6% and a win for Motherwell had a probability of 25.87%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.15%) and 2-1 (9.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.55%), while for a Motherwell win it was 0-1 (8.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kilmarnock would win this match.

Result
KilmarnockDrawMotherwell
47.51% (0.073 0.07) 26.62% (0.0089999999999968 0.01) 25.87% (-0.080000000000002 -0.08)
Both teams to score 47.86% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.72% (-0.079999999999998 -0.08)56.28% (0.080999999999996 0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.68% (-0.064 -0.06)77.32% (0.066000000000003 0.07)
Kilmarnock Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.29% (0.0010000000000048 0)23.71% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.17% (0.00099999999999767 0)57.83%
Motherwell Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.74% (-0.111 -0.11)37.26% (0.112 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.95% (-0.11 -0.11)74.05% (0.114 0.11)
Score Analysis
    Kilmarnock 47.5%
    Motherwell 25.87%
    Draw 26.62%
KilmarnockDrawMotherwell
1-0 @ 12.71% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
2-0 @ 9.15% (0.026999999999999 0.03)
2-1 @ 9.03%
3-0 @ 4.39% (0.013 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.33%
3-2 @ 2.14% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.58% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.56% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 47.5%
1-1 @ 12.55%
0-0 @ 8.84% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
2-2 @ 4.46% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 0.77%
Total : 26.62%
0-1 @ 8.72% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-2 @ 6.2% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-2 @ 4.31% (-0.013 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.04% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.47% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.42% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 1.73%
Total : 25.87%

How you voted: Kilmarnock vs Motherwell

Kilmarnock
8.3%
Draw
8.3%
Motherwell
83.3%
12
Head to Head
May 1, 2021 3pm
Mar 20, 2021 3pm
Kilmarnock
4-1
Motherwell
Lafferty (1'), McKenzie (55'), Burke (57'), Pinnock (83')
McGowan (45'), Lafferty (58'), Power (72')
Maguire (8')
Roberts (42')
Feb 10, 2021 6pm
Dec 30, 2020 6.15pm
Motherwell
0-2
Kilmarnock

Crawford (56'), Campbell (63')
O'Hara (52')
Kiltie (41'), Whitehall (53' pen.)
Tshibola (32')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Celtic333021103257892
2RangersRangers33254481344779
3Aberdeen33172145252053
4Hearts33146135649748
5Hibernian33135154952-344
6St Mirren33128133849-1144
7Livingston33126153352-1942
8Motherwell33107164448-437
9St Johnstone3396183454-2033
10Dundee UnitedDundee Utd3387183658-2231
11Kilmarnock3387182958-2931
12Ross County3376202852-2427

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