

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dunfermline Athletic win with a probability of 51.2%. A win for Alloa Athletic had a probability of 25.38% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dunfermline Athletic win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.32%) and 0-2 (8.23%). The likeliest Alloa Athletic win was 2-1 (6.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.95%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dunfermline Athletic would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Alloa Athletic | Draw | Dunfermline Athletic |
| 25.38% ( | 23.42% ( | 51.2% ( |
| Both teams to score 57.32% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.36% ( | 43.63% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.97% ( | 66.02% ( |
| Alloa Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.15% ( | 30.85% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 32.86% ( | 67.13% ( |
| Dunfermline Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.9% ( | 17.1% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 52.69% ( | 47.3% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Alloa Athletic | Draw | Dunfermline Athletic |
| 2-1 @ 6.44% ( 1-0 @ 6.21% ( 2-0 @ 3.65% ( 3-1 @ 2.53% ( 3-2 @ 2.23% ( 3-0 @ 1.43% ( Other @ 2.9% Total : 25.38% | 1-1 @ 10.95% ( 2-2 @ 5.69% ( 0-0 @ 5.28% ( 3-3 @ 1.31% ( Other @ 0.19% Total : 23.41% | 1-2 @ 9.68% ( 0-1 @ 9.32% ( 0-2 @ 8.23% ( 1-3 @ 5.7% ( 0-3 @ 4.84% ( 2-3 @ 3.35% ( 1-4 @ 2.52% ( 0-4 @ 2.14% ( 2-4 @ 1.48% ( Other @ 3.96% Total : 51.2% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline | 36 | 23 | 12 | 1 | 63 | 21 | 42 | 81 |
| 2 | FalkirkFalkirk | 36 | 19 | 10 | 7 | 70 | 39 | 31 | 67 |
| 3 | AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians | 36 | 17 | 9 | 10 | 82 | 51 | 31 | 60 |
| 4 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 36 | 17 | 6 | 13 | 56 | 47 | 9 | 57 |
| 5 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 36 | 16 | 6 | 14 | 59 | 59 | 0 | 54 |
| 6 | Edinburgh CityEdinburgh | 36 | 15 | 6 | 15 | 60 | 55 | 5 | 51 |
| 7 | Montrose | 36 | 13 | 9 | 14 | 50 | 55 | -5 | 48 |
| 8 | Kelty Hearts | 36 | 10 | 10 | 16 | 39 | 54 | -15 | 40 |
| 9 | Clyde | 36 | 5 | 9 | 22 | 35 | 68 | -33 | 24 |
| R | PeterheadPeterhead | 36 | 3 | 7 | 26 | 19 | 84 | -65 | 16 |
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