Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 61.64%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Espanyol had a probability of 15.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.56%) and 1-2 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.69%), while for a Espanyol win it was 1-0 (6.05%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Barcelona would win this match.
Result | ||
Espanyol | Draw | Barcelona |
15.5% (![]() | 22.86% (![]() | 61.64% (![]() |
Both teams to score 43.89% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.19% (![]() | 53.81% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.72% (![]() | 75.28% (![]() |
Espanyol Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
52.91% (![]() | 47.08% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
17.45% (![]() | 82.55% (![]() |
Barcelona Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.95% (![]() | 17.05% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.79% (![]() | 47.21% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Espanyol | Draw | Barcelona |
1-0 @ 6.05% (![]() 2-1 @ 4.03% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 2.28% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 1.01% ( ![]() Other @ 2.14% Total : 15.5% | 1-1 @ 10.69% 0-0 @ 8.03% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 3.56% ( ![]() Other @ 0.57% Total : 22.85% | 0-1 @ 14.2% (![]() 0-2 @ 12.56% ( ![]() 1-2 @ 9.46% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 7.41% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 5.58% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 3.28% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 2.47% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.1% ( ![]() 0-5 @ 1.16% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 0.93% ( ![]() Other @ 2.49% Total : 61.64% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Barcelona | 37 | 28 | 4 | 5 | 69 | 18 | 51 | 88 |
2 | Real Madrid | 37 | 24 | 5 | 8 | 74 | 35 | 39 | 77 |
3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 37 | 23 | 7 | 7 | 68 | 31 | 37 | 76 |
4 | Real Sociedad | 37 | 20 | 8 | 9 | 49 | 34 | 15 | 68 |
5 | Villarreal | 37 | 19 | 6 | 12 | 57 | 38 | 19 | 63 |
6 | Real BetisBetis | 37 | 17 | 8 | 12 | 45 | 40 | 5 | 59 |
7 | Osasuna | 37 | 14 | 8 | 15 | 35 | 41 | -6 | 50 |
8 | Athletic Bilbao | 37 | 14 | 8 | 15 | 46 | 42 | 4 | 50 |
9 | GironaGirona | 37 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 57 | 53 | 4 | 49 |
10 | Rayo Vallecano | 37 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 45 | 50 | -5 | 49 |
11 | Sevilla | 37 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 46 | 52 | -6 | 49 |
12 | Mallorca | 37 | 13 | 8 | 16 | 34 | 43 | -9 | 47 |
13 | Valencia | 37 | 11 | 8 | 18 | 41 | 44 | -3 | 41 |
14 | CadizCadiz | 37 | 10 | 11 | 16 | 29 | 52 | -23 | 41 |
15 | Getafe | 37 | 10 | 11 | 16 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 41 |
16 | Almeria | 37 | 11 | 7 | 19 | 46 | 62 | -16 | 40 |
17 | Celta Vigo | 37 | 10 | 10 | 17 | 41 | 52 | -11 | 40 |
18 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 37 | 11 | 6 | 20 | 33 | 63 | -30 | 39 |
R | Espanyol | 37 | 8 | 12 | 17 | 49 | 66 | -17 | 36 |
R | ElcheElche | 37 | 5 | 9 | 23 | 29 | 66 | -37 | 24 |
> La Liga Full Table |