

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 79.27%. A draw had a probability of 14% and a win for Espanyol had a probability of 6.72%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 2-0 with a probability of 14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.8%) and 1-0 (11.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.64%), while for a Espanyol win it was 0-1 (2.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Barcelona | Draw | Espanyol |
| 79.27% ( | 14.01% ( | 6.72% |
| Both teams to score 41.49% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.48% ( | 39.52% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.13% ( | 61.87% ( |
| Barcelona Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 92.02% ( | 7.98% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 71.84% ( | 28.16% ( |
| Espanyol Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 45.09% ( | 54.91% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 12.17% ( | 87.83% |
| Score Analysis |
| Barcelona | Draw | Espanyol |
| 2-0 @ 14% 3-0 @ 11.8% 1-0 @ 11.08% ( 2-1 @ 8.4% 4-0 @ 7.46% 3-1 @ 7.08% 4-1 @ 4.47% 5-0 @ 3.77% ( 5-1 @ 2.26% 3-2 @ 2.12% 6-0 @ 1.59% 4-2 @ 1.34% 6-1 @ 0.95% ( Other @ 2.95% Total : 79.27% | 1-1 @ 6.64% 0-0 @ 4.38% ( 2-2 @ 2.52% Other @ 0.47% Total : 14.01% | 0-1 @ 2.63% 1-2 @ 1.99% Other @ 2.1% Total : 6.72% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Barcelona | 37 | 28 | 4 | 5 | 69 | 18 | 51 | 88 |
| 2 | Real Madrid | 37 | 24 | 5 | 8 | 74 | 35 | 39 | 77 |
| 3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 37 | 23 | 7 | 7 | 68 | 31 | 37 | 76 |
| 4 | Real Sociedad | 37 | 20 | 8 | 9 | 49 | 34 | 15 | 68 |
| 5 | Villarreal | 37 | 19 | 6 | 12 | 57 | 38 | 19 | 63 |
| 6 | Real BetisBetis | 37 | 17 | 8 | 12 | 45 | 40 | 5 | 59 |
| 7 | Osasuna | 37 | 14 | 8 | 15 | 35 | 41 | -6 | 50 |
| 8 | Athletic Bilbao | 37 | 14 | 8 | 15 | 46 | 42 | 4 | 50 |
| 9 | GironaGirona | 37 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 57 | 53 | 4 | 49 |
| 10 | Rayo Vallecano | 37 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 45 | 50 | -5 | 49 |
| 11 | Sevilla | 37 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 46 | 52 | -6 | 49 |
| 12 | Mallorca | 37 | 13 | 8 | 16 | 34 | 43 | -9 | 47 |
| 13 | Valencia | 37 | 11 | 8 | 18 | 41 | 44 | -3 | 41 |
| 14 | CadizCadiz | 37 | 10 | 11 | 16 | 29 | 52 | -23 | 41 |
| 15 | Getafe | 37 | 10 | 11 | 16 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 41 |
| 16 | Almeria | 37 | 11 | 7 | 19 | 46 | 62 | -16 | 40 |
| 17 | Celta Vigo | 37 | 10 | 10 | 17 | 41 | 52 | -11 | 40 |
| 18 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 37 | 11 | 6 | 20 | 33 | 63 | -30 | 39 |
| R | Espanyol | 37 | 8 | 12 | 17 | 49 | 66 | -17 | 36 |
| R | ElcheElche | 37 | 5 | 9 | 23 | 29 | 66 | -37 | 24 |
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