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La Liga | Gameweek 12
Oct 29, 2022 at 8pm UK
Estadio de Mestalla
Barcelona logo
Valencia
0 - 1
Barcelona

Lino (67'), Guillamon (84'), Castillejo (90+7'), Foulquier (90+7')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Lewandowski (90+3')
Garcia (21'), Alonso (45'), Gavi (89'), Pique (90+2'), Torres (90+8')
The Match
Team News
Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Saturday's La Liga clash between Valencia and Barcelona.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Valencia and Barcelona, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Predicted Lineups
Sports Mole looks at how Barcelona could line up in Saturday's La Liga clash with Valencia.
Injuries & Suspensions
Sports Mole rounds up Barcelona's latest injury and suspension news ahead of their La Liga clash with Valencia.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Valencia 1-2 Mallorca
Saturday, October 22 at 5.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: Barcelona 0-3 Bayern
Wednesday, October 26 at 8pm in Champions League

We said: Valencia 1-2 Barcelona

Valencia will certainly be the fresher of the two sides, and it has been an emotional week for Barcelona. Xavi will be demanding a response from his players on Saturday evening, though, and we are expecting the Catalan outfit to return to winning ways at Mestalla. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 59.73%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Valencia had a probability of 18.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.81%) and 0-2 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.02%), while for a Valencia win it was 2-1 (5.12%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Barcelona would win this match.

Result
ValenciaDrawBarcelona
18.9% (0.084 0.08) 21.36% (0.062000000000001 0.06) 59.73% (-0.145 -0.14)
Both teams to score 55.21% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.83% (-0.148 -0.15)42.16% (0.15 0.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.43% (-0.149 -0.15)64.57% (0.151 0.15)
Valencia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64% (0.0030000000000001 0)35.99% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.22% (0.00099999999999767 0)72.77% (0.00099999999999056 0)
Barcelona Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.26% (-0.090000000000003 -0.09)13.74% (0.090999999999999 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.99% (-0.184 -0.18)41% (0.185 0.18)
Score Analysis
    Valencia 18.9%
    Barcelona 59.73%
    Draw 21.35%
ValenciaDrawBarcelona
2-1 @ 5.12% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
1-0 @ 5.05% (0.034 0.03)
2-0 @ 2.58% (0.017 0.02)
3-1 @ 1.75% (0.006 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.73%
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 18.9%
1-1 @ 10.02% (0.025 0.03)
2-2 @ 5.09%
0-0 @ 4.94% (0.033 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.15% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 21.35%
1-2 @ 9.96%
0-1 @ 9.81% (0.032999999999999 0.03)
0-2 @ 9.74% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
1-3 @ 6.59% (-0.023000000000001 -0.02)
0-3 @ 6.45% (-0.022 -0.02)
2-3 @ 3.37% (-0.011 -0.01)
1-4 @ 3.27% (-0.022 -0.02)
0-4 @ 3.2% (-0.022 -0.02)
2-4 @ 1.67% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-5 @ 1.3% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-5 @ 1.27% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 3.11%
Total : 59.73%

How you voted: Valencia vs Barcelona

Valencia
11.0%
Draw
10.5%
Barcelona
78.5%
181
Head to Head
Feb 20, 2022 3.15pm
Valencia
1-4
Barcelona
Soler (52')
Moriba (53'), Duro (56'), Lato (76'), Soler (77')
Aubameyang (23', 38'), De Jong (32'), Pedri (63')
Alba (35'), Araujo (56'), Gonzalez (72'), Dest (90+3')
Oct 17, 2021 8pm
Barcelona
3-1
Valencia
Fati (13'), Depay (41' pen.), Coutinho (85')
Gavi (20'), Busquets (32')
Gaya (5')
Gaya (39'), Foulquier (63'), Gomez (82')
May 2, 2021 8pm
Valencia
2-3
Barcelona
Paulista (50'), Messi (57', 69'), Griezmann (63'), Soler (83')
Racic (35'), Lato (56'), ter Stegen (65')
Dec 19, 2020 3.15pm
Barcelona
2-2
Valencia
Messi (45+4'), Araujo (52')
Griezmann (13'), Mingueza (56'), Alba (90+1'), Lenglet (90+2')
Diakhaby (29'), Gomez (69')
Gaya (45+4'), Blanco (45+7')
rhs 2.0
Real Madrid Until The End
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Tables
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CBarcelona37284569185188
2Real Madrid37245874353977
3Atletico MadridAtletico37237768313776
4Real Sociedad37208949341568
5Villarreal371961257381963
6Real BetisBetis37178124540559
7Osasuna37148153541-650
8Athletic Bilbao37148154642450
9GironaGirona371310145753449
10Rayo Vallecano371310144550-549
11Sevilla371310144652-649
12Mallorca37138163443-947
13Valencia37118184144-341
14CadizCadiz371011162952-2341
15Getafe371011163445-1141
16Almeria37117194662-1640
17Celta Vigo371010174152-1140
18Real ValladolidValladolid37116203363-3039
REspanyol37812174966-1736
RElcheElche3759232966-3724

Real Madrid Until The End
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